Forecast-based financing

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An innovative approach to release funds for disaster preparedness and response according to predefined triggers before a crisis occurs.

Irene Amuron Joanna Smith
​​Anticipatory action plans include a trigger mechanism, developed according to an impact-based forecasting approach, that translates the expected hazard event and its potential impacts into technical and actionable interventions.
REAP Anticipatory Action: The Enabling Environment Case Studies (Fiji)
2021
An in-depth analysis of the policy enabling environment for early action in Fiji.  
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
Damage on homes from Cyclone Fani in Odisha, India (2019)
The Risk-informed Early Action Partnership's State of Play report provides a snapshot of early warning early action commitment, investment and activity over the previous year.
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
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2022
This report provides a snapshot of early warning early action commitment, investment and activity over the previous year.
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
Arielle Tozier de la Poterie Martin Field
​​​​​​​Anticipatory action requires a shift in the humanitarian mindset. The Anticipation Hub is assembling the evidence. 
The risk of a drought every year is becoming increasingly likely. But should humanitarian agencies bet $140 million on it before it actually occurs? While scientific forecasts are more accurate, they do still contain some inherent uncertainty.
Devex