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Drought and Desertification

A drought is a period of abnormally dry weather characterized by a prolonged deficiency of precipitation below a certain threshold over a large area and a period longer than a month (WMO, 2020).

It is a weather-related natural hazard, which can affect vast regions for months or years, significantly impacting economic performance, particularly food production. Millions of people are affected by droughts each year and it is expected that vulnerability to drought will increase due to population increases, environmental degradation, development pressures and climate change.

There is little, if anything, that can be done to alter the occurrence of droughts. However, it is important that scientists try to understand and communicate the probability of drought events of various levels of intensity and duration. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has adopted the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) as a global standard to measure meteorological droughts on the basis of rainfall data.

The Integrated Drought Management Programme (IDMP), co-sponsored by the WMO and the Global Partnership Water (GWP), have developed a three pillar approach to Integrated Drought Management. These pillars include: drought monitoring and early warning; drought vulnerability and impact assessment; and drought mitigation, preparedness and response. IDMP developed the National Drought Management Policy Guidelines, which include a 10-step process to assist countries in developing national drought plans and policies (WMO and GWP, 2014).

Drought types

Meteorological drought: Occurs when dry weather patterns dominate an area. It is defined usually on the basis to the degree of dryness and the duration of the dry period.

Agricultural drought: Occurs when agricultural production becomes affected. It focuses on precipitation shortages, differences between actual evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced groundwater and so on.

Hydrological drought: Occurs when low water supply becomes evident and is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply.

Socio-economic drought: Relates to the supply and demand of some economic goods with elements of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought. It also occurs when the demand for an economic good exceeds supply as a result of a weather-related shortfall in water supply.

Drought risk factors

Drought risks are associated with:

  • Deficient or erratic rainfall. 
  • Poverty and rural vulnerability.
  • Poor water and soil management.
  • Weak or ineffective governance.
  • Climate change.

Vulnerable areas

Droughts affect all climactic regions, but parts of Africa are among the most vulnerable. 

  • For example, in the African Sahel, warmer and drier conditions have led to a reduced growing season with detrimental effects on crops. 
  • In southern Africa, longer dry seasons and more uncertain rainfall are prompting adaptation measures.
  • Poor rural households, whose livelihoods depend on rain-fed subsistence agriculture, are the social groups most exposed and vulnerable to drought.
  • Droughts are rarely, or solely, responsible for conflicts, but they can contribute to the likelihood of conflict by increasing competition for scarce resources and by exacerbating ethnic tensions, usually due to displacement or migration.

Risk reduction measures

  • Policy and governance, political commitment for drought risk management.
  • Drought risk identification, impact assessment and early warning, including hazard monitoring and analysis.
  • Design and implementation of anticipatory actions to mitigate the impact of drought before it occurs to reduce the need for humanitarian assistance.
  • Drought awareness and knowledge management to create the basis for a culture of drought risk reduction and resilient communities.
  • Development of water-saving practices and policies to promote and enforce sustainable land and water management.
  • All of these elements need strong political commitment, community participation, and consideration of local realities and indigenous knowledge.

Latest Drought additions in the Knowledge Base

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Update
El Niño risks in the Philippines

PAGASA has warned of a “very strong” El Niño peaking in December and persisting through the first half of 2027, bringing dry spells and drought to most of the Philippines while the monsoon brings flooding to the west.

Climate Adaptation Platform (CAP)
Update
Building drought resilience

For the world’s rivers 2025 was one of the driest years in more than three decades. UNEP sets out what drought is doing to households and ecosystems, and the adaptation measures – from Sri Lankan tank cascades to zai pits in Niger – that reduce the risk.

United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
Case study
Location: Malawi
Flood-prone wards in Mzuzu were receiving warnings 24 to 48 hours late. This case study describes how 30 community monitors in three wards now collect monthly data on rainfall, flood points, new arrivals and service gaps.
  • Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)
Case study
Location: India
Almost a third of surveyed households in Rajasthan gave drought as a reason for migrating, and Jaipur’s groundwater table has fallen 25 metres in a decade. This case study describes the community-driven Suraksha Lens risk platform.
  • Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)
Update
PNG: Impacts of El Niño on non-traditional food crops

The podcast explains how the dry conditions have forced people to rely on non-traditional food crops for food.

Australian Broadcasting Corporation
Past-to-future drought across hydrographic microregions in Northeast Brazil: SPI-based diagnostics and bivariate (duration–severity) risk under CMIP6 scenarios thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study used observed precipitation and QDM-corrected CMIP6 simulations to examine future meteorological drought in Brazil, across 82 hydrographic microregions under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5.

Natural Hazards (Springer)
Farmers in the Americas working in the field
Update
Measuring disaster-related crop losses

Disaster-related crop losses are often underreported, leaving smallholder farmers vulnerable. Combining household surveys, satellite data and emerging AI tools can improve loss estimates, identify affected groups and strengthen agricultural resilience.

World Bank, the
Climate change adaptation in the Andes: Key lessons and recommendations thumbnail
Documents and publications

This report evaluates five adaptation solutions in the Andes, finding that community-led initiatives with visible impacts are most sustainable, recommending early integration of sustainability, monitoring, local empowerment, and financing strategies.

Adaptation at Altitude
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