Global Risk Assessment Framework

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The Global Risk Assessment Framework (GRAF) aims to improve the understanding and management of current and future risks, at all scales, to better manage uncertainties and mobilise people, innovation and finance by:

  • Fostering interdisciplinary systems thinking, with shared metrics and shared understanding.
  • Enabling the identification of anomalies and precursor signals, as well as the correlations and dependencies of risks and actors to enable decision makers to act.

By providing actionable insights, tools and demonstrations at relevant scales to decision makers on a timely basis the GRAF can build collective intelligence to steer societies towards the shared metrics of the 2030 Agenda, the Sendai Framework, the Paris Agreement and the New Urban Agenda.


  1. To improve understanding of complex risk and concatenating vulnerabilities in disaster environments.
  2. To provide decision makers with actionable insights and access to products, tools, demonstrations and scenarios at all scales (spatial and temporal) to better understand positive, negative, direct, indirect, intended, unintended as well as short, long term systems impacts and consequences to prevent risk creation, manage and reduce existing risk, including systemic risk, transition risks and emerging risks accounting for values & risk perceptions, trade-offs of users
  3. To support decision-makers to maximise synergies across the implementation monitoring, follow up and review, as well as achievement of the targets and deliverables of the 2030 Agenda, the Paris Agreement, the New Urban Agenda and the Sendai Framework
  4. To build, and increase trust and confidence in, multi-sectoral risk assessments in an inclusive, evidence informed, open process, building on existing processes and data to the greatest extent possible
  5. To foster a culture of inclusive, collaborative, and proactive behaviour based on interdisciplinary systems thinking and decision science
  6. To mobilize finance and de-risk investments to enable risk-informed sustainable development
Key Documents
Contact Secretariat

Expert Group

The remit of the GRAF Expert Group is to provide guidance and direction in the development of the GRAF, and the current membership is expected to be in position until at least the 4th Meeting of the Expert Group in November 2019 – equivalent to the co-design and initial development phases of the GRAF.


UNDRR will serve as the Secretariat of the GRAF Expert Group. The Secretariat will perform an executive management and coordination role across all activities through the GRAF co-design, development and implementation phases. The GRAF Secretariat will, to the greatest extent possible, act as a trusted broker to leverage existing efforts and nurture innovative collaboration. It will deliver administrative and operational functions to support the Meetings and activities of the Expert Group, including facilitating the collaborative working environment.

The key functions of the GRAF Secretariat include:

  • GRAF coordination
  • Internal and external communications
  • Funding and resource mobilisation
  • IT management
  • Science and technology support

The GRAF Secretariat will also be responsible for internal communication with the Executive Office of the Secretary-General. External communication and IT management will be supported by the Working Group on Communications and IT.

Working Groups

In the first phase, the GRAF Expert Group has identified priority GRAF Working Group activities to catalyse initial efforts for rapid scaled-up efforts. These will enable rapid scale-up in Phases 2 and 3 and mobilization across networks.

The four Working Groups set out here were prioritised based on extensive consultations and refined through Expert Group discussions. The prioritisation of these groups will not preclude the establishment of others if approved by the Expert Group.

  1. GRAF Mapping and Gap Analysis Working Group
  2. GRAF Demonstrators and Pilots Working Group
  3. GRAF Communications and IT Working Group
  4. GRAF Fostering Interdependent Systems Thinking Working Group



Marc Gordon
Head, Global Risk Analysis and Reporting Unit
UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Geneva, Switzerland
T: +41 22 917 28 08 | M: +41 79 44 44 812 | Skype:

Adam Fysh
Programme Management Officer – Global Risk Analysis and Reporting Unit
United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Rue de Varembé 09-11, 1202 Geneva, Switzerland
t: +41 2291 78863 | m: +41 76 691 1028 | skype: adam.fysh