State of the climate Kenya (2025)

The State of the Climate Kenya 2025 report shows how rising temperatures and uneven rainfall are already affecting Kenya’s agriculture, water, health, and livelihoods, while warning of higher climate risks in 2026. It explains how rising temperatures, uneven rainfall, and growing climate variability are affecting agriculture, water resources, public health, and livelihoods, while warning that 2026 may bring even greater risks linked to heat, erratic rains, floods, drought, and a possible El Niño.

The findings demonstrate that 2025 was Kenya’s seventh warmest year in 36 years, with temperatures rising by about 0.22°C per decade since 1991 and December 2025 recorded as the hottest month. It also shows that uneven rainfall and extreme weather reduced crop yields, worsened water stress, increased disease risks, and heightened food insecurity, while the 2026 outlook points to above-average temperatures, irregular rainfall, greater flood and landslide risk, and the need for major investment in preparedness, early warning systems, and climate resilience.