Climate Hazard Assessment – Madi Okoll District

This summary presents downscaled climate projections for Madi Okollo District under the SSP2-4.5 moderate emissions scenario, evaluating shift patterns between the historical baseline (1970–2000) and mid-century (2041–2060).

Key findings

• Annual Trends: Total annual precipitation is projected to increase from 1,138 mm to 1,270 mm, representing an overall gain of 132 mm.
• Seasonal Shifts: Moderate gains are expected across all periods, led by an increase of 49.4 mm during the coldest quarter and 28.4 mm during the wettest month.
• Spatial Patterns: High rainfall gains (135–147 mm) are concentrated in Rhino Camp, Rigbo, and Ewanga, whereas Pawor, Inde Town Council, and Okollo face lower increases (127–130 mm).