Risk identification and assessment

This study applies an a priori scaffold of eight institutionalisation pathways and a cross-cutting coordination pathway to develop an institutionalisation-deficit framework.

This study aims to develop a risk-based model for assessing fire hazards in highway bridges, intended as a practical decision-support tool for infrastructure managers to identify critical scenarios and prioritise mitigation strategies.

This study identifies recurrent hotspot zones of projected heat and dry-spell persistence across the Middle East and North Africa (MENA).

New Zealand is set to see a future of more frequent and extreme droughts, heatwaves and fires, along with bigger floods.

A 20-year study found that global exposure to wildfires and heat waves occurring on the same days rose by 287 million from 2000 to 2019, with over half the world’s population experiencing these combined events.

This study investigates the development and evaluation of immersive geospatial learning materials for flood disaster education, integrating GIS, Augmented Reality (AR), spatial literacy, higher-order thinking skills, and ecopedagogical perspectives.

This article assesses how definitions affect detected changes in compound climate extremes in Europe, finding that event frequency, intensity, and trends are sensitive to metric choice and recommends careful selection of event definitions for monitoring.

This study applies a grid-based, explainable machine learning framework to Jeju Island and finds that rainfall, groundwater, and proximity to water bodies are key, regionally variable factors for flood occurrence, supporting nuanced flood risk management.

Alaska scientists have launched an interactive tsunami map covering 66 coastal communities, highlighting flood risks and preparedness gaps to help local leaders strengthen evacuation planning and protect lives.

As cities continue to sink, we need to examine these changes at the local scale. Averages across a whole city can tell us how big the problem is, but knowing where the land is sinking fastest – and who lives there – is essential to deciding for response.

New modelling suggests the tropical Pacific could stay in an El Niño-like state for centuries even after net zero is reached, with a larger share of El Niño events turning extreme. The longer emissions take to fall, the more of them.

This study presents a spatial network optimization approach to model extreme drought impacts on Sweden’s food supply chain, revealing that supply losses in the south translate to unmet demand in the north and highlighting new bottlenecks in distribution.

A study of doctors’ experiences during the 2023 Türkiye earthquakes highlights gaps in disaster preparedness and calls for practical training, psychological support and policies that recognize healthcare workers may also be disaster survivors.

This report examines the conditions, decisions, actions, and systems that influenced Southern California Fires and community conflagration outcomes before and during the fires.

A study of 465 cities across 107 countries reveals global land subsidence trends from 2014 to 2023, identifying hotspots including Mexico City and several Asian cities. The findings highlight the need for continued monitoring and targeted action.

WMO’s Global Seasonal Climate Update forecasts the Niño 3.4 anomaly reaching about +3.7°C in October–December, the highest since observations began, with a near-100 per cent likelihood that El Niño persists through February 2027.

This second report focuses on the everyday risks that touch the most lives, examining changes in reported levels of harm from sources such as road traffic to drinking water. The Poll is based on more than 143,000 interviews in 140 countries & territories

A powerful El Niño is developing in the tropical Pacific and is expected to influence global temperature and precipitation through 2027. Climate Central sets out how its warming effect compares with human-caused climate change.

This study develops a multidimensional climate vulnerability index for Odisha’s 30 districts, finding marked regional disparities driven by environmental and physical factors, and recommends targeted, domain-specific adaptation strategies for DRR.

Study finds built-up areas potentially exposed to flooding in Nepal and neighbouring river catchments grew by 46% between 2016 and 2023. Rising exposure in valleys highlights the need to integrate disaster risk into land-use and infrastructure planning.

An international study reveals that the unprecedented heat stress of 2023–2024 will likely recur in the coming decades unless emissions are reduced. The Amazon is the most vulnerable region.

Team studied tsunami-like sea disturbances in Greece from antiquity to now, finding nine of ten cases were meteorological in origin and only one seismic, stressing the importance of multiple discriminants to distinguish meteotsunamis from seismic tsunamis

This guide summarizes global evidence on extreme heat and health, showing rising heat-related illness, death and economic losses, and highlighting Heat-Health Action Plans, surveillance, governance and equitable adaptation as key responses.

This review explores data-driven methods in climate multi-hazard and risk assessment, focusing on four themes: data processing and collection; hazard identification, prediction and analysis; risk assessment; and future risk scenarios under climate change.

This report analyzes the 2026 flash flood in Nepal, finding a massive rock-ice avalanche—not rainfall—triggered the disaster. It advocates multi-hazard monitoring, early warning systems, and transboundary risk management to build Himalayan resilience.

This study provides guidance for public health authorities and event organizers to prevent and manage heat-related illness at mass gatherings, offering risk assessment tools and practical measures for safer, climate-resilient events in diverse contexts.

An interpretable model is one that can be verified, discussed, and challenged. This is the prerequisite for AI to become a legitimate tool in water management.

This study evaluates the sensitivity of wildfire hazard to climate change in Molleturo Parish, Azuay Province, using high-resolution (20 m) spatial simulations with the FlamMap modeling framework.

This study examines how cities across the Arizona urban corridor incorporate heat resilience into their networks of plans, using an integrated assessment approach. The researchers applied three complementary plan evaluation methods.

El Niño can reshape weather thousands of miles away, bringing drought to some regions while increasing the risk of heavy rain and flooding in others. To understand why, you need to follow what happens to the Pacific’s warm water – and the air above it.

This research article explores future projections of burned area in Europe by assessing the influence of climate change and human actions.

As a record-breaking El Niño continues to grow, climate scientist Daniel Swain explains what may be in store for the next year as we brace for an El Niño “so far above anything we've previously seen, it doesn't even fit on the same axis.”

This study suggests that wildland-urban interface (WUI) disasters create a distinct post-disaster exposure regime characterised by persistent internal metal mixtures associated with pulmonary impairment months after the event.

This research quantitatively evaluates how historical landform modifications and urban expansion have altered rainfall–runoff behaviour and flood exposure.

The challenge for AI models to predict hurricane intensity is not just about obtaining more data, building better neural networks or deploying faster computers. It is also about understanding hurricane behaviors and how chaos in intensity emerges.

Antarctic radar observations improved Southern Hemisphere weather forecasts, reducing errors in atmospheric river predictions and enhancing estimates of winds, moisture transport and circulation in data-sparse regions.

Accounting for the accumulated effects could help governments better assess climate risks and plan adaptation measures, Concordia researchers say

Technical handbook for North Macedonia on risk and hazard assessment and protection and rescue planning, identifying gaps in coordination, methodology and data management; recommending EU-aligned, risk-informed approaches to preparedness and resilience.

The article explores the record-strength 2026 El Niño, its global impacts and links to climate change, while examining how terms such as “super El Niño” shape how scientists, media and the public understand extreme events.

This research article assesses eight water stressors across Africa using exposure and vulnerability data. It finds WASH-service risks affect the largest populations and calls for stronger transboundary cooperation and improved data systems.

This report shows that for women in beauty services, domestic work, food delivery, e-commerce, and ride-hailing, heat is not just a climate issue. It is a labour rights, gender, health, and urban infrastructure crisis.