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The World Meteorological Organization guidelines on the definition and monitoring of extreme weather and climate events advise the following (WMO, 2020):

  • Index: Daily values of Tmax, Tmin, and /or average temperature. Another index could be computed using temperature change in the 24 hours prior to the onset of the event.
  • Threshold: Determined based on historical values of the index.
  • Temporal: Station-level information on starting date, ending date, and duration of the event. Persistence of conditions for a cold wave are two days.
  • Spatial: Calculate the area affected, by providing the percentage of stations where the threshold was surpassed; locate the coordinates of the impacted stations and the centre with the highest/lowest values of the indices; and optional, but recommended if resources are available, to use a geographical information system (GIS) to calculate the area affected by the event, the magnitude, and severity.

This hazard category also includes Dzud which is a cold-season disaster in which anomalous climatic (i.e., heavy snow and severe cold) and/or land-surface (snow/ ice cover and lack of pasture) conditions lead to reduced accessibility and/or availability of forage/pastures, and ultimately to high livestock mortality during winter–spring. This page also contains content on Blizzard which is a severe snow storm characterised by poor visibility, usually occurring at high-latitude and in mountainous regions.

Vulnerability

Human health impacts from cold waves include mortality from ischaemic heart disease and cerebrovascular disease, both of which increase in cold weather.

Living in a cold house can affect health at any age, not just in old age, for a variety of reasons. Although the extra deaths in elderly people are caused mainly by cardiovascular and respiratory disease, far greater numbers have minor ailments that lead to a huge burden of disease, costs to the health system, and misery.

Compared with those who live in a warmer house, respiratory problems are roughly doubled in children, arthritis and rheumatism increase, and mental health can be impaired at any age. Adolescents who live in a cold house have a five-fold increased risk of multiple health problems (Dear and McMichael, 2011).

Risk reduction measures

To reduce impacts related to cold waves, countries have used national alerting parameters for cold wave warning or cold weather plans, which help prevent major avoidable effects on health (HIP, 2021).

Latest Cold Wave additions in the Knowledge Base

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Many chronic pain patients cite the weather as a driver of their suffering, and climate change is making the torment more likely and harder to deal with. But research on the relationship is uncertain, and federal cuts could hold it back.

Inside Climate News
Increasing frequency and intensity of single, multiple and concurrent meteorological hazards in Europe from a high-resolution dataset (1961–2020) thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study uses a 1.5 km-resolution European dataset to assess changes in single, multiple and concurrent meteorological hazards from 1961 to 2020. It finds increasing frequency and intensity of compound extremes and calls for preparedness and adaptation.

IOP Science
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Research briefs

A new study led by CMCC researchers demonstrates the potential to predict variations in the frequency of occurrence of temperature extremes - both heatwaves and cold spells - up to two years in advance.

Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC)
Intensification of extreme cold events in East Asia in response to global mean sea-level rise thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study highlights the effect of global mean sea level (GMSL) rise on synoptic systems. Even a small uniform sea-level uplift – one aspect of GMSL rise – can promote stronger and more frequent winter extreme cold events in East Asia.

Nature Communications (Nature)
Inequality in mortality risk of older adults between rural and urban areas exposure to temperature variations in China thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study explored the impacts of temperature variations like low/high and extreme temperatures on mortality risk of older adults in China.

BMC Public Health
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Documents and publications

This study aimed to analyse how heat and cold climate extremes impact the health and hospitalisation rates of elderly patients.

Nature Scientific Reports
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Documents and publications

This technical report presents the methodology for analysing the probability of occurrence and severity of dzuds in Mongolia as well as findings for the period 2024-2100.

Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)
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Documents and publications

The UK briefing models a 2040 cyber-attack on the energy grid during a cold wave, causing widespread outages and cascading failures.

National Consortium for Societal Resilience [UK+]
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