Climate Hazard Assessment – Terego District

This report analyzes climate hazards and future projections in Terego District, Uganda. It highlights rising heat stress, unpredictable rainfall, seasonal drought, and localized flooding affecting rural host communities and refugee settlements.

Key insights include:

• Climate Projections: Mean annual temperatures are expected to rise from 25.5°C to 28.2°C by mid-century, exacerbating soil moisture loss despite moderate rainfall increases.
• Drought Hazards: Drought index monitoring reveals severe vegetation stress in Odupi, Omugo, and Imvepi Refugee Settlement during critical crop growing seasons.
• Flood Vulnerability: Approximately 2.6% of the district faces high flood risk, primarily in low-lying areas near the Enyau River, disrupting infrastructure, farms, and sanitation.