Slovak Republic climate resilience policy indicator

• Slovak Republic’s average annual temperature increased almost 2°C between 1881 and 2016, and the temperature rise, which has become more marked in recent decades, is expected to continue. Climate projections indicate that Slovak Republic's annual mean temperature for 2050-2100 will be 2.81‑3.68°C higher than it was in 1961-1990. Warming is expected to change energy demand patterns, boosting power demand for cooling and reducing it for heating.
• Precipitation patterns are characterised by strong variability. Climate projections show up to 30% greater annual precipitation in 2075 than in 1961-1990, with marked seasonal and geographical variations. The increase in precipitation is expected to be more notable in the winter than in the summer, and in the north than in the south. These precipitation changes may raise the country’s exposure not only to heavy precipitation events, but to droughts.
• Energy is one of the key areas of Slovak Republic’s climate change adaptation strategy and action plans. The National Adaptation Strategy proposes resilience measures for the energy sector such as constructing new electricity lines and equipment and renovating obsolete ones, and protecting energy infrastructure against floods. Slovak Republic’s energy policies also address climate concerns, but proposed actions focus primarily on climate change mitigation rather than adaptation and resilience.

Climate hazard assessment

Temperature

Slovak Republic’s average annual temperature increased almost 2°C between 1881 and 2016, at a rate that has been accelerating in recent decades. In fact, during 2000-2020 the country’s average temperature rise of 0.0646°C per year significantly outpaced the world average (0.0313°C per year).

The warming rate has been slightly higher for the warmer half of the year (April to September) than for the colder half (October to March). For 2011-2016, the number of days with mean temperature above 27°C was five times higher than for the 1951-1960 period, while days with mean temperature below ‑5°C fell by half.

Climate projections for the second half of the century (2050-2100) show a 2.81‑3.68°C increase in annual mean temperature compared with 1961-1990.1 Warming is expected to be uniform across the country, with minor variations by locality. Heatwaves, as well as the number of days with maximum temperature above 30°C, are also expected to increase towards the end of the century.

This rise in average temperature is affecting energy demand, reducing winter heating needs but increasing summer cooling. Unsurprisingly, the number of heating degree days (HDDs) in the past two decades has fallen and cooling degree days (CDDs) have increased.

According to the climate change impacts, vulnerability and adaptation assessment of the Slovak Republic’s Seventh National Communication on Climate Change, the length of the heating season contracted in both the warmest areas (by 19 days) and the coldest ones (by 20 days) between 1951 and 2010. Nevertheless, electricity consumption could increase, especially in the summer, as power demand for cooling rises. With the country’s peak electricity demand occurring in the winter, this increase in summer demand is projected to flatten Slovak Republic’s yearly consumption profile.

Precipitation

Precipitation patterns of 1881-2016 are characterised by high interannual variability, with severe droughts alternating with regional flooding. Thus, no significant long-term annual precipitation trend was identified for the period, although geographical variations in precipitation were notable. While precipitation increased 5% in northern Slovak Republic, the south experienced a decrease of as much as 10%.

Compared with 1961-1990, average annual precipitation is projected to remain stable or increase up to 30% by 2075,1 with marked seasonal differences. Winter precipitation is expected to be 20‑56% higher,1 while changes in summer precipitation remain uncertain.

Climate changes are likely to amplify spatial variations. While northern Slovak Republic will likely experience the highest increase in annual precipitation, southern regions will receive even less. Increased precipitation in some locations could lead to flash flooding and infrastructure damage, as occurred in the Žarnovica district when it received substantial precipitation in May 2021.

Tropical cyclones and storms

Although Slovak Republic is not frequently exposed to cyclones, windstorms and thunderstorms can impact its energy system.2 While the total number of thunderstorms is not projected to rise, high-intensity events could become up to 50% more frequent by the end of the century. The country is already experiencing storm-related electricity disruptions, such as those caused in March 2019 by the storm Eberhard, which cut electricity to 17 000 households in the central region and to almost 9 000 in eastern Slovak Republic.

Policy readiness for climate resilience