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2018/19 El Niño Asia-Pacific impact outlook for March to April 2019

Source(s):  Regional Integrated Multi-Hazard Early Warning System for Africa and Asia, the (RIMES)
United Nations Development Programme - Headquarters (UNDP)
United Nations Development Programme - Thailand (UNDP Thailand)
United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP)

This document updates the 2018/2019 El Niño advisory that was released by ESCAP, RIMES and UNDP on 6 December 2018.

Based on the prevailing conditions in December 2018, the advisory stated that although the stage is set for the tango between the ocean and the atmosphere, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) may or may not materialize, or just slightly influence some parts of the region. Although there are no major changes in this situation, there are signs of the tango materializing. While the sea surface temperatures have cooled from mid-December 2018, they are still slightly above El Niño thresholds. In addition, the atmosphere has started showing signs of response that are consistent with borderline weak El Niño conditions. The current document updates the 6 December advisory to apprise Governments, development and humanitarian agencies about El Niño conditions during the transitional spring months of March-April 2019.

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  • 2018/19 El Niño Asia-Pacific impact outlook for March to April 2019
  • Publication date 2019
  • Author(s) Srinivasan, Govindarajalu et al.
  • Number of pages 6 p.

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