The 2016 Understanding Risk Forum (UR2016) is the fourth biennial conference of the UR Community. Understanding Risk is a global community of experts and practitioners in the field of disaster risk identification - including risk assessment and risk communication. This publication includes the proceedings of the forum.
The document discusses recommendations on the following themes:
- Connecting for decision-making (pp. 15-44):
- Learning to anticipate behavioural challenges in predisaster decision making;
- The final mile: Connecting an impact-based warning service to decision-making;
- When uncertainty is certain: Tools for improved decision-making for weather and climate;
- Communicating for action: What’s needed?
- Revealing the common misperceptions about El Niño and La Niña.
- Data (pp. 47-64):
- Global school safety: Reaching for scale through innovation;
- Breaking barriers for the common good: Open data and shared risk analysis in support of multilateral action;
- Bridging the divide: Digital humanitarians and the Nepal earthquake.
- Modelling (pp. 67-85):
- Reading the tea leaves: When risk models fail to predict disaster impacts;
- Challenges in developing multihazard risk models from local to global scale;
- Climate extremes and economic derail: Impacts of extreme weather and climate-related events on regional and national economies.
- Vulnerability and resilience (pp. 95-112):
- Checking the vitals: Making infrastructure more resilient;
- Putting people first: Practices, challenges, and innovations in characterising and mapping social groups;
- How risks and shocks impact poverty - and why, when, and where better financial protection can help.
- The future of risk and risk assessment (pp. 117-136):
- Cutting-edge technologies that are changing the way we understand risk;
- Building a less risky future: How today’s decisions shape disaster risk in the cities of tomorrow;
- The future of quantifying compounding events in deltas;
- Understanding risk is essential for the implementation of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015–2030.
