El Niño outlook for Asia Pacific 2026–2027: Hazards, vulnerability, and RCRC response

This factsheet provides an overview of the developing 2026/2027 El Niño in Asia and the Pacific and its anticipated impacts on countries across South Asia, Southeast Asia, the Pacific and East Asia. It draws on information from IFRC delegations, National Societies and verified external sources including OCHA, WMO, FAO, the Climate Centre, PDC and the AHA Centre. The document presents regional outlooks, country-level reported events, vulnerability information, and preparedness, readiness, anticipatory action and response measures being undertaken by Red Cross and Red Crescent National Societies.

This factsheet notes that El Niño is expected to bring unusual rainfall and temperature patterns, with increased risks including drought, heat, water shortages, flooding, food insecurity, vector-borne diseases and health impacts. It highlights the compounding effects of rising fuel, fertiliser and food prices on livelihoods and household purchasing power.