Aftershocks aims to provide readers with an accessible look at what would happen today if we were to experience some of the iconic disasters of the past. The pages that follow look at how risk modeling can be used to analyze natural events that led to the major disasters of the past, and to understand how these events might impact today’s more populous and connected world.
The events included in this publication were selected to represent a range of regions and hazards, and to illustrate the evolution of exposure and how vulnerability translates into risk. They were also chosen to illustrate the impacts of disasters on a range of sectors, including agriculture, infrastructure, the supply chain, and—in the case of the Carrington event—the vulnerable “digital cocoon” in which we have encased the world. Finally, the events were chosen to highlight diverse areas of engagement in disaster risk management.