Japan: Increased chance of a large earthquake hitting Tokyo over the next 30 years - AIR

Catastrophe modeler AIR Worldwide has released new research asserting that the magnitude-9 Honshu earthquake that struck Japan on March 11, 2011 has transferred stress to neighboring faults underlying Kanto Plain, a 17,000-square-kilometre area that includes Tokyo, according to Canadian Underwriter. These findings suggest the risk of an earthquake hitting the Tokyo area sometime over the next four years is between 23% and 28% at most, significantly lower than the one produced by researchers at Tokyo University’s Earthquake Research Institute (ERI).