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Risk identification and assessment

A qualitative or quantitative approach to determine the nature and extent of disaster risk by analysing potential hazards and evaluating existing conditions of exposure and vulnerability that together could harm people, property, services, livelihoods and the environment on which they depend. Performing risk, hazard and vulnerability assessments is a key disaster risk management activity.

This theme covers aspects related to hazard/vulnerability/climate risk assessment, disaster risk modelling and analysis.

Through UNICEF’s open-access GeoSight platform, decision-makers can visualise risk, compare layers, and identify priority areas for action.

Latest Risk identification and assessment additions in the Knowledge Base

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Ocean blue underwater with sunrays
Research briefs

The world’s oceans are the hottest on record for June, pushing past records set during the 2023–24 El Niño years.

Conversation Media Group, the
Update

Research recently published has outlined a rising risk of a major industrial disaster, with more than half of respondents suggesting that the risk of such an event in their sector is higher today than it was ten years ago.

Water Magazine
Habitat suitability for desert locust across arid and semi-arid regions of India thumbnail
Documents and publications

This research uses a MaxEnt habitat suitability model to map morph-specific desert locust risk zones (hoppers, bands, adults, swarms) across arid and semi-arid Rajasthan, India, to guide targeted field surveillance.

Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment
Neglecting spatiotemporal rainfall variability misrepresents flood hazard and risk thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study provides the comparison of flood hazard maps and flood risk (damage) estimates derived from idealized design storms against those generated using stochastic storm transposition.

npj Natural Hazards (Nature)
Update

2010 Eyjafjallajökull eruption showed volcanic ash can trigger global transport and supply chain disruption beyond local damage, reshaping insurance BI/CBI thinking and driving new risk modelling.

WTW
Flood in a mountain produced by a glacial lake outburst
Research briefs

Researchers at Newcastle University have carried out the first comprehensive modelling of glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) risk in Bhutan and identified previously unrecognised high-risk lakes.

Newcastle University
Update

As Hurricane Irma’s path turned north, Saundra Morene was told she had to evacuate her Ribault River home on Jacksonville’s Northside. But she wasn’t worried.

Climate Central
The unfolding heat crisis in Thailand and Southeast Asia: Challenges and emerging solutions thumbnail
Documents and publications

This publication aims to raise awareness of the growing risks and impacts of heat stress and to provide practical guidance on regulatory, policy, and technical solutions that can help reduce its adverse effects.

Asian Development Bank (ADB)
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