Document / Publication

  • Do more with your content!Discover PreventionWeb Services
  • Forecasting hazards, averting disasters: implementing forecast-based early action at scale
    https://www.preventionweb.net/go/57526

    Email sent!

    An email has been sent to the email addresses provided, with a link to this content.

    Thank you for sharing!

    OK

Forecasting hazards, averting disasters: implementing forecast-based early action at scale

Source(s):  Overseas Development Institute (ODI)

This paper identifies the core features of over 25 forecast-based early action (FbA) instruments designed to anticipate and reduce the impacts of natural and man-made hazards. While the paper draws on evidence from a wide range of FbA initiatives over the last five years, it is not intended to provide a comprehensive review, but rather points to some of the commonalities and differences between these initiatives within what is a disparate field of practice.

The paper situates FbA innovations within broader humanitarian, disaster risk management and development agendas and reform processes. The authors examine the full chain of data use and decision-making: from decisions about the forecast and monitoring data to be assessed, to the selection of triggers and thresholds (and methods for integrating bio-physical and socio-economic impact data), protocols for action and the financing mechanisms needed to deliver support to communities before a disaster happens. 

There are significant challenges associated with using forecasts systematically to trigger the release of international and national humanitarian funds – and hence taking some control over allocation away from donors, governments and NGOs – but this kind of step change is necessary if FbA is to have a significant impact on the lives of vulnerable populations.

The paper concludes by considering the potential for FbA mechanisms to be adopted at scale in humanitarian and disaster risk management decision-making through the use of different sources of risk financing and national and international delivery mechanisms. 



Add this content to your collection!

Enter an existing tag to add this content to one or more of your current collections. To start a new collection, enter a new tag below.

See My collections to name and share your collection
Back to search results to find more content to tag

Log in to add your tags
  • Forecasting hazards, averting disasters: implementing forecast-based early action at scale
  • Publication date 2018
  • Author(s) Wilkinson, Emily; Weingärtner, Lena; Choularton, Richard; Bailey, Meghan; Todd, Martin; Kniveton, Dominic; Venton, Courtenay Cabot
  • Number of pages 40 p.

Please note:Content is displayed as last posted by a PreventionWeb community member or editor. The views expressed therein are not necessarily those of UNDRR PreventionWeb, or its sponsors. See our terms of use