Climate risk country profile: Togo (2025)

The Climate Risk Country Profile on Togo provides a country-level overview of physical climate risks to inform development planning, adaptation, and resilience strategies. Drawing on data from the Climate Change Knowledge Portal and the latest IPCC reports, the profile consolidates historical climate trends, future projections, and potential impacts across sectors such as agriculture, health, and coastal systems. Its purpose is to make climate information accessible and actionable for policymakers, practitioners, and stakeholders, supporting integration of climate considerations into national development priorities and international commitments, including Togo’s updated Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).

Togo has experienced significant warming, with temperatures rising up to 0.34°C per decade since 1991 and projections showing this trend will accelerate. The number of extremely hot days could nearly triple by mid-century, while tropical nights and humid heat days are expected to increase sharply, exposing the entire population to dangerous heat stress. Rainfall patterns are shifting, with modest overall increases projected but higher variability and more intense extreme events, raising flood and landslide risks. Rising sea surface temperatures and sea levels threaten coastal communities and marine ecosystems, while droughts and rainfall variability undermine rainfed agriculture on which much of the population depends. With high poverty levels and limited adaptive capacity, Togo faces acute climate vulnerabilities, underscoring the urgency of scaling up adaptation measures and resilience investments to safeguard livelihoods, ecosystems, and long-term development.