Why earthquake predictions are usually wrong

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Guessing that an earthquake would happen here is an easy bet, Dr Jones said, although a strong magnitude seven is quite rare.

The USGS notes there have been only 11 such quakes or stronger since 1900. Five, including the one Mr Dmitruk promoted on social media, happened in that same region.

While the guess was correct, Dr Jones told the BBC that it's unlikely any earthquake - including the largest, society-destroying types - will ever be able to be forecasted with any accuracy.

There is a complex and "dynamic" set of geological factors that lead to an earthquake, Dr Jones said.

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