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This hazard category also covers hazards such as:

  • Sinkhole: A sinkhole is a closed depression in karst (a landscape resulting from the dissolution of soluble rock) by current or palaeo internal drainage, also known as a doline. This is one of several hazards that result in subsidence, i.e., lowering or collapse of the ground (adapted from USGS, no date; and BGS, no date).
  • Permafrost loss: Permafrost is defined as the ground that remains frozen under 0°C for a minimum of two consecutive years. Permafrost loss, also known as permafrost thaw is the progressive loss of ground ice in permafrost, usually due to input of heat. Thaw can occur over decades to centuries over the entire depth of permafrost ground, with impacts occurring while thaw progresses.

Risk drivers and reduction measures

Beneath the depth of influence of atmospheric change in moisture content, the water demand of vegetation, particularly trees on clay soils dominates the moisture content changes that lead to the soils shrinking (subsidence) and swelling (heave). Where subsidence and heave occur beneath or close to properties and infrastructure this can result in damage (Florida Department of Environmental Protection, 2020). The most obvious way in which expansive soils can damage foundations is by uplift as they swell with moisture increases. Swelling soils lift up and crack lightly-loaded, continuous strip footings, and frequently cause distress in floor slabs. Uplift is commonly differential, reflecting the different resisting forces across the structural foundations.

The extensive distribution of these soils across the world has necessitated characterisation through index testing to inform remedial measures. At its simplest, the plasticity indices are utilised to define inorganic clays with inherent swelling capacity (e.g., BRE, 1993). Expansion of soils can also be measured in the laboratory directly, by immersing a remolded soil sample and measuring its volume change or using LiDAR techniques (Hobbs et al., 2014).

The best way to avoid damage from expansive soils is to extend building foundations beneath the zone of water content fluctuation as modified to reflect the presence of vegetation (Rogers et al., no date).

Latest Land subsidence additions in the Knowledge Base

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Update

The interaction of land subsidence with urbanization, reclamation and climate variability in contributing to massive flooding must also be examined, along with possible governance failures in light of increasing flood risk in Philippines.

Inquirer.net, Philippine Daily Inquirer
Dissecting land subsidence along United States coasts through hazard characterization and exposure disparities thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study presents the first national-scale characterisation of land subsidence hazard and exposure of population groups and infrastructure systems across 20 United States coastal states, explicitly accounting for spatial dependence.

Communications Earth & Environment (Nature)
Rapid analysis report: Scientific anatomy of the 26 August 2026 Bhotekoshi flash flood thumbnail
Documents and publications

The report concludes that the 26 August 2026 Bhotekoshi flash flood appears to have been triggered by an ice, rock and soil mass failure around the Deding/Langtang region rather than intense localized rainfall.

Integrated Research on Disaster Risk
Institute of Himalayan Risk Reduction
National Society for Earthquake Technology - Nepal
Expansive view of icebergs and frozen waters in Yakutia, Siberia, under a clear winter sky.
Research briefs

First international global assessment of long-term active layer monitoring data at the George Washington University Department of Geography and Environment demonstrates clear global evidence that permafrost is thawing across much of the planet.

George Washington University
Quantifying impacts of vertical land motion and sea level rise on flooding in Lagos Nigeria thumbnail
Documents and publications

The authors integrate high-resolution VLM into sea-level rise (SLR) projections for Lagos, Nigeria to quantify impacts of vertical land motion and sea level rise on flooding.

npj Natural Hazards (Nature)
Aerial view of a highway cutting through lush greenery in Santos, São Paulo, Brazil.
Update

The IDB is advancing regenerative roads in Latin America and the Caribbean by integrating nature-based solutions to reduce risks and costs due to poor logistics performance, growing exposure to natural hazards, and accelerating loss of natural capital.

Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
A flooded street with road closed signs reflecting in the water along a tree-lined sidewalk next to the sea.
Research briefs

Densely populated coastal regions in many parts of the world are particularly vulnerable to flooding. Researchers from TUM and TUlane University show that the sinking of land masses exacerbates the impacts of rising sea levels in these areas.

Technische Universität München
Update

A new study indicates that large parts of the Sacramento Valley may have undergone irreversible ground compaction during recent droughts, leading to a permanent loss of groundwater storage.

PhysOrg, Omicron Technology Ltd
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