Fragility and conflict

IFPRI is launching new research on seed systems in conflict zones. The project in northern Ethiopia and northern Nigeria examines how climate shocks, conflict, and displacement affect seed access and local seed systems.

Australia and Türkiye have an opportunity to put climate, peace and security back on the COP31 agenda by integrating conflict sensitivity into climate adaptation, increasing finance for fragile states and turning commitments into action.

This policy brief reviews empirical research and finds that climate change increases armed conflict risk primarily in areas with economic vulnerability and fragile governance, emphasizing the importance of resilience and conflict-sensitive adaptation.

Higher temperatures are linked to more gun violence incidents across 100 U.S. cities. Rising temperatures driven by human-caused climate change can amplify the risk of aggressive and violent behavior and, in turn, increase the number of shootings.

Nearly four years after a peace deal ended the devastating war in Ethiopia’s Tigray region, conflict has resumed, threatening stability across the Horn of Africa and overshadowing a catastrophic food crisis.

Polycrisis -multiple and often overlapping crises- create new vulnerabilities. They have severe effects on countries in sub-Saharan Africa with high poverty levels where weak institutions and limited public resources make it hard to respond effectively.

This brief presents the results of a Government of Japan-funded FAO project on ''Enhancing flood management in Uganda with integrated early warning systems to contribute to women, peace and security''.

This paper shares evidence from across communities in fragile and conflict-affected contexts setting out how climate change is affecting their lives, how people are taking action to adapt and cope, and the types of support they are calling for.