Saving lives, time and money: evidence from anticipatory action, May 2025
This report presents findings from anticipatory action programs across multiple countries, coordinated by FAO, WFP, and OCHA. It explores how acting on forecasts and early warnings—before disasters fully unfold—can deliver faster, cheaper, and more effective humanitarian assistance. The study highlights that anticipatory action is not only practical but essential, especially amid growing crises and limited funding.
Evidence from countries like Kenya, Bangladesh, Nepal, and Somalia shows that every USD 1 invested in anticipatory action yields up to USD 7 in avoided losses and added benefits. Early measures—such as distributing cash, feed, or shelter supplies—reached people faster, helped maintain food security, protected livelihoods, and reduced loss of life. For example, in Bangladesh, assistance reached 500,000 people within five days of a flood warning, at half the cost of previous responses.
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