The effect of evacuation decisions on flash flood preparedness in Fujairah, UAE: When the waters rise are we ready in desert country?

This publication examines the growing risk of flash flooding in the United Arab Emirates, a country traditionally characterized by low annual rainfall but increasingly affected by intense precipitation events and flooding in recent years. Focusing on the Emirate of Fujairah, the study addresses a major research gap by analysing household evacuation behaviour and intentions to prepare for future floods. Using a questionnaire grounded in the Protective Action Decision Model (PADM) and responses from 223 residents, the analysis identifies key factors influencing evacuation decisions, including risk perceptions, emotional responses, and the receipt of official warnings through government and media channels. Socio-demographic characteristics—such as age, the presence of elderly household members, and home ownership—also emerged as significant predictors. 

The study further reveals differences between evacuees and non-evacuees in anticipated preparedness measures, particularly regarding permanent relocation and structural mitigation. Overall, the findings provide valuable insights for strengthening community preparedness and improving the effectiveness of emergency management strategies in the face of increasing flash flood risk in the UAE.