Disaster risk management plan

The plan analyses how climate change, together with national socio-economic and demographic trends, contributes to disaster risk and population vulnerability in Bulgaria. Climate change is expected to have an overall negative impact. A general declining trend in precipitation is projected, with significant regional variation. In Eastern Bulgaria, average precipitation is expected to decrease by 5–10%, and in some areas by as much as 15–20%. Winters classified as cold under current climate conditions are expected to occur less frequently by the 2050s and to largely disappear by the 2080s, while hot summers are projected to become increasingly frequent.