International Centre for Humanitarian Affairs (Kenya Red Cross)

To contribute to the knowledge on anticipatory management for drought, this paper presents the use of drought impact calendar and existing climate and weather forecasts to define windows of opportunity for implementing drought anticipatory actions in the

Five years since the adoption of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030, the concept of building resilience amongst communities to flooding is still a major concern in developing countries. This is evident from the ever-increasing

In Kenya, flooding in the lower Tana and lower Athi basin causes great impacts to local communities in the Garissa, Kilifi and Tana River counties during the long and short rains.

As a way of mitigating flood risks and impacts, the Strengthening Early

March-April-May (MAM) and October-November-December (OND) are the two significant rainy seasons in Kenya and East Africa at large. The two seasons are influenced by the movement of the rain belt and overhead sun northwards and southwards. In addition, the

This paper highlights that more needs to be done to advance the understanding and use of climate and weather forecasts in decision making.

This report makes a case for the Forecast-based Action (FbA) approach which aims to maximize the window of opportunity presented by climate and weather forecasts for taking mitigative actions prior to a hazard event occurring.