GAR 2015 Main Report

Part I - Chapter 3

Table 3.2 Agriculture, land degradation and drought in sub-Saharan Africa

(Source: UNISDR with data from FAO, 2014

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2014,The State of Food and Agriculture: Innovation in family farming, Rome.. .

and

Erian et al., 2014

Erian, Wadid, Bassem Katlan, Naji Assad and Sanaa Ibrahim. 2014,Effects of Drought and Land Degradation on Crop Losses in Africa and the Arab Region with Special Case Study on: drought and conflict in Syria, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction. Geneva, Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.

Note: Where data is not included in the table, it is because no data was readily available.

of GDP, and the probable maximum loss (PML) from a 1-in-25-year drought is equal to 10 per cent of GDP. In addition, a 1-in-25-year drought would exacerbate income poverty by 17 per cent, which would mean an additional 2.1 million people falling below the poverty line (World Bank et al., no date).

The picture is equally critical in West Africa. Mali, for example, faces a 10 per cent probability of suffering production losses amounting to US$48

million or larger in 50 years for millet alone (Figure 3.34). In Senegal, millet production losses for the same return period are US$15 million or more.

According to the IPCC, “climate change is very likely to have an overall negative effect on yields of major cereal crops across Africa, with strong regional variability in the degree of yield reduction” (IPCC, 2014

IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2014,Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Working Group II. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.. .

). However, this regional variability would be considerable and may even involve

	84 Part I - Chapter 3 Table 3.2 Agriculture, land degradation and drought in sub-Saharan Africa (Source: UNISDR with data from FAO, 2014 x FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization). 2014,The State of Food and Agriculture: Innovation in family farming, Rome.. . and Erian et al., 2014 x Erian, Wadid, Bassem Katlan, Naji Assad and Sanaa Ibrahim. 2014,Effects of Drought and Land Degradation on Crop Losses in Africa and the Arab Region with Special Case Study on: drought and conflict in Syria, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction. Geneva, Switzerland: UNISDR.. Click here to view this GAR paper. .) Note: Where data is not included in the table, it is because no data was readily available. of GDP, and the probable maximum loss (PML) from a 1-in-25-year drought is equal to 10 per cent of GDP. In addition, a 1-in-25-year drought would exacerbate income poverty by 17 per cent, which would mean an additional 2.1 million people falling below the poverty line (World Bank et al., no date). The picture is equally critical in West Africa. Mali, for example, faces a 10 per cent probability of suffering production losses amounting to US$48 million or larger in 50 years for millet alone (Figure 3.34). In Senegal, millet production losses for the same return period are US$15 million or more. According to the IPCC, “climate change is very likely to have an overall negative effect on yields of major cereal crops across Africa, with strong regional variability in the degree of yield reduction” (IPCC, 2014 x IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change). 2014,Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, Working Group II. Cambridge and New York: Cambridge University Press.. . ). However, this regional variability would be considerable and may even involve	Page 1 Page 10 Page 20 Page 30 Page 40 Page 50 Page 60 Page 70 Page 74 Page 75 Page 76 Page 77 Page 78 Page 79 Page 80 Page 81 Page 82 Page 83 Page 84 Page 85 ->Page 86 Page 87 Page 88 Page 89 Page 90 Page 91 Page 92 Page 93 Page 94 Page 95 Page 96 Page 97 Page 98 Page 100 Page 110 Page 120 Page 130 Page 140 Page 150 Page 160 Page 170 Page 180 Page 190 Page 200 Page 210 Page 220 Page 230 Page 240 Page 250 Page 260 Page 270 Page 280 Page 290 Page 300 Page 310