GAR 2015 Main Report

Figure 3.34 Probability of production loss in West Africa

(Source:

Jayanthi, 2014

Jayanthi, Harikishan. 2014,Assessing the agricultural drought risks for principal rainfed crops due to changing climate scenarios using satellite estimated rainfall in Africa, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction..
Click here to view this GAR paper.

increases in maize production in eastern Africa (IPCC 2014).

In Kenya, Malawi and Niger, income from agriculture respectively contributes 30 per cent, 30 per cent, and 38 per cent to each country’s GDP. Estimated average annual losses (AAL) vary with and without near-term climate change in all three

Figure 3.35 Drought AAL and PML100, with and without climate change

(Source:

Jayanthi, 2014

countries (Figure 3.35). While maize production in Malawi is expected to face higher AAL with climate change, Kenya and Niger show reduced AAL figures for the same climate change scenario, both in terms of absolute values and as a percentage of their GDP for maize and millet production, respectively.

	85 Figure 3.34 Probability of production loss in West Africa (Source: Jayanthi, 2014 x Jayanthi, Harikishan. 2014,Assessing the agricultural drought risks for principal rainfed crops due to changing climate scenarios using satellite estimated rainfall in Africa, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction.. Click here to view this GAR paper. .) increases in maize production in eastern Africa (IPCC 2014). In Kenya, Malawi and Niger, income from agriculture respectively contributes 30 per cent, 30 per cent, and 38 per cent to each country’s GDP. Estimated average annual losses (AAL) vary with and without near-term climate change in all three Figure 3.35 Drought AAL and PML100, with and without climate change (Source: Jayanthi, 2014 x Jayanthi, Harikishan. 2014,Assessing the agricultural drought risks for principal rainfed crops due to changing climate scenarios using satellite estimated rainfall in Africa, Background Paper prepared for the 2015 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction.. Click here to view this GAR paper. .) countries (Figure 3.35). While maize production in Malawi is expected to face higher AAL with climate change, Kenya and Niger show reduced AAL figures for the same climate change scenario, both in terms of absolute values and as a percentage of their GDP for maize and millet production, respectively.	Page 1 Page 10 Page 20 Page 30 Page 40 Page 50 Page 60 Page 70 Page 75 Page 76 Page 77 Page 78 Page 79 Page 80 Page 81 Page 82 Page 83 Page 84 Page 85 Page 86 ->Page 87 Page 88 Page 89 Page 90 Page 91 Page 92 Page 93 Page 94 Page 95 Page 96 Page 97 Page 98 Page 99 Page 100 Page 110 Page 120 Page 130 Page 140 Page 150 Page 160 Page 170 Page 180 Page 190 Page 200 Page 210 Page 220 Page 230 Page 240 Page 250 Page 260 Page 270 Page 280 Page 290 Page 300 Page 310