Document / Publication

  • Do more with your content!Discover PreventionWeb Services
  • The role of climate variability in extreme floods in Europe

    Email sent!

    An email has been sent to the email addresses provided, with a link to this content.

    Thank you for sharing!


The role of climate variability in extreme floods in Europe

Source(s):  IOP Science

Climate variability is shown to be an important driver of spatial and temporal changes in hydrometereological variables in Europe. However, the influence of climate variability on flood damage has received little attention. The researchers investigated the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and the East Atlantic pattern (EA) during their neutral, positive, and negative phases, to understand their relationships with four flood indicators: Occurrence of Extreme Rainfall, Intensity of Extreme Rainfall, Flood Occurrence, and Flood Damage.

This article finds that positive and negative phases of NAO and EA are associated with more (or less) frequent and intense seasonal extreme rainfall over large areas of Europe. The relationship between ENSO and the Occurrence of Extreme Rainfall and Intensity of Extreme Rainfall in Europe is much smaller than the relationship with NAO or EA, but still significant in some regions. It shows that Flood Damage and Flood Occurrence have strong links with climate variability, especially in southern and eastern Europe.

Therefore, when investigating flooding across Europe, all three indices of climate variability should be considered. Future research should focus on their joint influence on flood risk. The potential inclusion of seasonal forecasts of indices of climate variability could be effective in forecasting flood damage.

Add this content to your collection!

Enter an existing tag to add this content to one or more of your current collections. To start a new collection, enter a new tag below.

See My collections to name and share your collection
Back to search results to find more content to tag

Log in to add your tags
  • The role of climate variability in extreme floods in Europe
  • Publication date 2017
  • Author(s) Guimarães Nobre, G.; Jongman, B.; Aerts, J.; Ward, P. J.
  • Number of pages 12 p.

Please note:Content is displayed as last posted by a PreventionWeb community member or editor. The views expressed therein are not necessarily those of UNDRR PreventionWeb, or its sponsors. See our terms of use