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Drought and Desertification

A drought is a period of abnormally dry weather characterized by a prolonged deficiency of precipitation below a certain threshold over a large area and a period longer than a month (WMO, 2020).

It is a weather-related natural hazard, which can affect vast regions for months or years, significantly impacting economic performance, particularly food production. Millions of people are affected by droughts each year and it is expected that vulnerability to drought will increase due to population increases, environmental degradation, development pressures and climate change.

There is little, if anything, that can be done to alter the occurrence of droughts. However, it is important that scientists try to understand and communicate the probability of drought events of various levels of intensity and duration. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has adopted the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) as a global standard to measure meteorological droughts on the basis of rainfall data.

The Integrated Drought Management Programme (IDMP), co-sponsored by the WMO and the Global Partnership Water (GWP), have developed a three pillar approach to Integrated Drought Management. These pillars include: drought monitoring and early warning; drought vulnerability and impact assessment; and drought mitigation, preparedness and response. IDMP developed the National Drought Management Policy Guidelines, which include a 10-step process to assist countries in developing national drought plans and policies (WMO and GWP, 2014).

Drought types

Meteorological drought: Occurs when dry weather patterns dominate an area. It is defined usually on the basis to the degree of dryness and the duration of the dry period.

Agricultural drought: Occurs when agricultural production becomes affected. It focuses on precipitation shortages, differences between actual evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced groundwater and so on.

Hydrological drought: Occurs when low water supply becomes evident and is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply.

Socio-economic drought: Relates to the supply and demand of some economic goods with elements of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought. It also occurs when the demand for an economic good exceeds supply as a result of a weather-related shortfall in water supply.

Drought risk factors

Drought risks are associated with:

  • Deficient or erratic rainfall. 
  • Poverty and rural vulnerability.
  • Poor water and soil management.
  • Weak or ineffective governance.
  • Climate change.

Vulnerable areas

Droughts affect all climactic regions, but parts of Africa are among the most vulnerable. 

  • For example, in the African Sahel, warmer and drier conditions have led to a reduced growing season with detrimental effects on crops. 
  • In southern Africa, longer dry seasons and more uncertain rainfall are prompting adaptation measures.
  • Poor rural households, whose livelihoods depend on rain-fed subsistence agriculture, are the social groups most exposed and vulnerable to drought.
  • Droughts are rarely, or solely, responsible for conflicts, but they can contribute to the likelihood of conflict by increasing competition for scarce resources and by exacerbating ethnic tensions, usually due to displacement or migration.

Risk reduction measures

  • Policy and governance, political commitment for drought risk management.
  • Drought risk identification, impact assessment and early warning, including hazard monitoring and analysis.
  • Design and implementation of anticipatory actions to mitigate the impact of drought before it occurs to reduce the need for humanitarian assistance.
  • Drought awareness and knowledge management to create the basis for a culture of drought risk reduction and resilient communities.
  • Development of water-saving practices and policies to promote and enforce sustainable land and water management.
  • All of these elements need strong political commitment, community participation, and consideration of local realities and indigenous knowledge.

Latest Drought additions in the Knowledge Base

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Multi-hazard early warnings for all. Roadmap for Samoa thumbnail
Policies and plans
Policy type
National policies and plans

The Multi-Hazard Early Warnings for All (EW4All) Roadmap for Samoa 2026–2036 outlines Samoa’s strategy for strengthening its national early warning systems to better prepare for and respond to natural hazards and climate-related disasters.

Samoa - government
Research briefs

Climate change could push UK rivers to dangerous extremes and see more frequent rapid swings between wet and dry conditions – a phenomenon known as hydroclimatic whiplash – according to research led by the University of East Anglia (UEA).

University of East Anglia
Woman farmer in Malawi showing a bean
Update

From drought preparedness in Africa to institutional strengthening in Kyrgyzstan and post-conflict recovery planning in the agricultural sector in Lebanon, explore how loss and damage data is being used as a resource for decision-making.

United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Predicting hydrological drought at global scale: an analysis of the CEMS seasonal forecasts thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study evaluates the performance of forecasts in detecting hydrological drought in the period 1991–2022 using the ECMWF reanalysis ERA5 as a proxy for the observational reference.

Natural Hazards (Springer)
Update

Too little rain and snow, too little water in the rivers: An interview with SLF hydrologist Manuela Brunner on the causes of the ongoing drought in Switzerland.

WSL Institute for Snow and Avalanche Research (SLF)
sarma_bruntrup_2026.pdf thumbnail
Documents and publications

The research seeks to address the question, what are the potential global targets forevaluating proactive drought preparedness and resilience that can be standardized and monitored to improve coordination among countries and international organizations.

International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (Elsevier)
Case study
Location: Africa Madagascar
FAO combined historic losses and damages with forecasts, drought indicators, and vulnerability data to refine Madagascar’s drought triggers, enabling earlier, better‑targeted action that protected livelihoods.
  • Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO)
  • United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR)
Update

The Guatemalan Red Cross has activated its early action protocol (EAP) for drought. It is now implementing pre-agreed actions to support those at risk from this hazard, which is linked to the emerging El Niño event.

Anticipation Hub
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