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Drought and Desertification

A drought is a period of abnormally dry weather characterized by a prolonged deficiency of precipitation below a certain threshold over a large area and a period longer than a month (WMO, 2020).

It is a weather-related natural hazard, which can affect vast regions for months or years, significantly impacting economic performance, particularly food production. Millions of people are affected by droughts each year and it is expected that vulnerability to drought will increase due to population increases, environmental degradation, development pressures and climate change.

There is little, if anything, that can be done to alter the occurrence of droughts. However, it is important that scientists try to understand and communicate the probability of drought events of various levels of intensity and duration. The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has adopted the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) as a global standard to measure meteorological droughts on the basis of rainfall data.

The Integrated Drought Management Programme (IDMP), co-sponsored by the WMO and the Global Partnership Water (GWP), have developed a three pillar approach to Integrated Drought Management. These pillars include: drought monitoring and early warning; drought vulnerability and impact assessment; and drought mitigation, preparedness and response. IDMP developed the National Drought Management Policy Guidelines, which include a 10-step process to assist countries in developing national drought plans and policies (WMO and GWP, 2014).

Drought types

Meteorological drought: Occurs when dry weather patterns dominate an area. It is defined usually on the basis to the degree of dryness and the duration of the dry period.

Agricultural drought: Occurs when agricultural production becomes affected. It focuses on precipitation shortages, differences between actual evapotranspiration, soil water deficits, reduced groundwater and so on.

Hydrological drought: Occurs when low water supply becomes evident and is associated with the effects of periods of precipitation shortfalls on surface or subsurface water supply.

Socio-economic drought: Relates to the supply and demand of some economic goods with elements of meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural drought. It also occurs when the demand for an economic good exceeds supply as a result of a weather-related shortfall in water supply.

Drought risk factors

Drought risks are associated with:

  • Deficient or erratic rainfall. 
  • Poverty and rural vulnerability.
  • Poor water and soil management.
  • Weak or ineffective governance.
  • Climate change.

Vulnerable areas

Droughts affect all climactic regions, but parts of Africa are among the most vulnerable. 

  • For example, in the African Sahel, warmer and drier conditions have led to a reduced growing season with detrimental effects on crops. 
  • In southern Africa, longer dry seasons and more uncertain rainfall are prompting adaptation measures.
  • Poor rural households, whose livelihoods depend on rain-fed subsistence agriculture, are the social groups most exposed and vulnerable to drought.
  • Droughts are rarely, or solely, responsible for conflicts, but they can contribute to the likelihood of conflict by increasing competition for scarce resources and by exacerbating ethnic tensions, usually due to displacement or migration.

Risk reduction measures

  • Policy and governance, political commitment for drought risk management.
  • Drought risk identification, impact assessment and early warning, including hazard monitoring and analysis.
  • Design and implementation of anticipatory actions to mitigate the impact of drought before it occurs to reduce the need for humanitarian assistance.
  • Drought awareness and knowledge management to create the basis for a culture of drought risk reduction and resilient communities.
  • Development of water-saving practices and policies to promote and enforce sustainable land and water management.
  • All of these elements need strong political commitment, community participation, and consideration of local realities and indigenous knowledge.

Latest Drought additions in the Knowledge Base

Uploaded on
Predictive preparedness and recurrent shock reduction in Somalia: The roles of adaptive governance and institutional fragmentation thumbnail
Documents and publications

This paper examines the associations between predictive preparedness, adaptive governance, institutional fragmentation, and recurrent shock reduction in Somalia through a quantitative, cross-sectional study.

Risk Management and Healthcare Policy Journal (Dovepress Taylor & Francis group)
A striking landscape depicting a drought-stricken lake surrounded by mountain peaks.
Update

The article explores the record-strength 2026 El Niño, its global impacts and links to climate change, while examining how terms such as “super El Niño” shape how scientists, media and the public understand extreme events.

Grist Magazine
Africa's water-related risks to humanity: Spatial patterns and archetypes thumbnail
Documents and publications

This research article assesses eight water stressors across Africa using exposure and vulnerability data. It finds WASH-service risks affect the largest populations and calls for stronger transboundary cooperation and improved data systems.

Resources, Environment and Sustainability (Elsevier)
Stunning rural landscape of vineyards and hills in Erice, Sicily on a clear day.
Update

This Sicilian community has endured for centuries. But climate change, drought, heat and wildfires are threatening farming livelihoods in Sicily’s Arbëreshë community, raising concerns over the potential loss of a 500-year-old cultural heritage.

Grist Magazine
Global public health situation analysis El Niño 2026: Implications for public health and early action thumbnail
Documents and publications

WHO’s 2026 situation analysis warns the strong El Niño will bring extreme climate conditions, escalating health threats particularly for the vulnerable, urging early action to anticipate, mitigate, and respond.

World Health Organization (WHO)
Invisible allies: Donkeys promote drought resilience in pastoralist communities but are excluded from policy thumbnail
Documents and publications

This study examines policy and provision for working donkeys in Kenya and Ethiopia, countries severely affected by drought and heavily reliant on donkeys for community resilience.

Journal of Rural Studies (Elsevier)
Climate hazard assessment – Kikuube district thumbnail
Documents and publications

This report assesses climate hazards in Uganda’s Kikuube District, finding increasing drought stress, localized flood risk and rising temperatures. It recommends early warning systems, climate-smart agriculture, water management and resilience planning.

Uganda Learning, Evidence, Accountability and Research Network
Case study
Location: Kenya
Case study of Kenya’s disaster and climate budget tagging initiative, showing how expenditure tracking, DRR–CCA integration and risk-informed public financial management informed national DRM and DRF strategies.
  • Intra Africa, Caribbean and Pacific (ACP) Disaster Risk Reduction Programme (DRRP)
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