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Floods, landslides, cyclones, droughts, and heat waves are just a number of rapid and slow-onset disasters that are becoming increasingly prevalent as a result of climate change.The vulnerability of both human and natural systems is increasingly interdependent, leading to heightened risks in many regions. In 2022 alone, disasters triggered over 32 milli…
This paper is based on the experience of peace and climate change programming in the Bangsamoro, in the Philippines, Karamoja in Uganda, and Kashmir.  Examples of interventions from these three contexts illustrate how peacebuilders can support better coordination and collaboration among governments and communities, drawing on local knowledge and ex…
Climate change is a controversial topic at the United Nations (UN) Security Council. The Council has adopted over 70 resolutions and presidential statements that address aspects of climate-related peace and security implications. However, a few members strongly oppose adding climate change to the Security Council agenda. When a thematic resolution on th…
This brief shows that scientific literature offers ample evidence that climate change can constitute a real threat to international peace and security. Sixteen years after the first United Nations Security Council debate on climate change and security, there is still no agreement on how the Council should engage with the issue. A major reason for the st…
The purpose of this study is to contribute a robust cross-country analysis of the co-occurrence of disaster and conflict, with a particular focus on the potential role played by disasters. Disasters and armed conflict often co-occur, but does that imply that disasters trigger or fuel conflict? In the small but growing body of literature attempting to an…
Publication
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The paper builds on CASCADES research which examines the impacts of climate change on trade, investments, sustainable development and human security in the European neighbourhood, with a view to inform European policies and improve interregional cooperation. The scenarios presented in this paper have been co-developed with 30 experts from the region, re…
This study shows how disasters can escalate or defuse wars, insurgencies, and other strife. Armed conflict and disasters have plagued the twenty-first century. Not since the end of World War II has the number of armed conflicts been higher. At the same time, disasters have increased in frequency and intensity over the past two decades, their impacts wor…
This study asks whether Ethiopia's ‘Productive Safety Net Programme’ PSNP’s system of geographical targeting at the start of its fifth phase aligns with this more comprehensive framing of ‘adaptive social protection’. Ethiopia’s flagship ‘Productive Safety Net Programme’ (PSNP) entered its fifth phase of implementation in 2021 with a reorientation of th…
This paper builds on existing work to identify ostacles, including discussions convened by the International Committee of the Red Cross (IFRC) and the World Bank on climate action in conflict settings. The recommendations in this paper are designed to guide policymakers in unlocking opportunities for contextualized and differentiated approaches to provi…
Continuing drought brings food insecurity and a risk for emerging or ongoing conflict in Kenya, Ethiopia and Somalia, as well as Iraq, Iran and Afghanistan, according to a new quarterly update that analyses finds from a global early warning tool. Meanwhile, floods in South Sudan and South Africa contributes to a risk of conflict there. The update, issu…
In 2010 and 2011, parts of Uganda experienced rainfall deficits, affecting the country in agricultural, hydrological, and socioeconomic terms. Rainfall deficits did not occur across the entire country, and the level of deficiency varied in different locations. Uganda was not as seriously affected in comparison to other countries in the Great Horn of Afr…
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The conflict in Yemen has now raged for seven years. War-damaged urban infrastructure, as well as water shortages, flood damage, and limited government capacity has left two-thirds of a population of about 30 million without access to safe water, sanitation, and other essential services. These are compounding a humanitarian crisis fueled by extreme pove…
This guidance notes targets protection actors in Yemen and aims to: Advise protection actors to take adequate measures to prepare and respond to the on-going flood situation; provide information on recommended protection services/activities for the most vulnerable affected groups; ensure safe referrals for affected persons in need of follow-up services;…
DRR Community Voices
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Any disaster has the potential to set in motion a series of cascading risks, with hazards triggering a chain of new risks – and war is certainly no different. The largely dormant risk posed by asbestos building materials, which are usually contained in standing structures, becomes a serious long-term hazard when bombs or earthquakes reduce buildings to…
This article discusses how droughts are often suspected to increase the risk of violent conflict through agricultural production shocks, and existing studies often explore these links through meteorological proxies. In Syria, an alleged agricultural collapse caused by drought is assumed to have contributed to increased migration and the conflict outbrea…

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