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Displaying 45 of about 81 resultsThe halfway mark of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030 was reached with a resounding message from the midterm review at the UN General Assembly in New York on May 18, 2023: collectively, we are not on track to meet the targets set to be achieved by 2030. We weren’t on track prior to COVID-19, and the pandemic has further stalled…
This paper explores what is driving the conflict-climate gap, and what we know about armed group behaviour and potential forms of engagement. It examines the opportunities and challenges for climate adaptation in conflict-affected and non-state controlled-areas. It concludes by outlining a multi-pronged approach to developing ways of working on climate…
Less than half of the Least Developed Countries and only 40% of Small Island Developing States have a multi-hazard early warning system. The most vulnerable of all are people and communities affected by fragility, conflict and violence. The UN Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (UNDRR) and WMO Centre of Excellence for Climate and Disaster Resilienc…
This report advances usable knowledge on how climate change and conflict interact in the region. Its findings contribute to a growing body of research examining the links between climate change and conflict outcomes. Its objective is twofold: first, to strengthen the evidence base on the relationship between climate change and socio-institutional fragil…
This essay provides a conceptual discussion of what risks to peace entail and how such risks might be considered severe, acknowledging that perceptions, values, and social scale must be grappled with in the identification of severity. Anthropogenic climate change is commonly characterized as a threat to human security. However, the extent to which and u…
This paper presents an analysis of future precipitation patterns over the Lake Victoria Basin, East Africa, using bias-corrected CMIP6 model projections. A mean increase of about 5% in mean annual (ANN) and seasonal [March–May (MAM), June–August (JJA), and October–December (OND)] precipitation climatology is expected over the domain by mid-century (2040…
This case study investigates climate-related environmental vulnerabilities and their interaction with conflict dynamics in three informal urban settlements, Qauia, Maravu, and Nanuku, in Suva, Fiji. This study is part of a larger applied participatory research project that investigates the environment-fragility-peace nexus through at least fifteen compa…
Located on the borders between the West African countries of Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger is the landlocked region of Liptako-Gourma.With around 17 million people living across 536,000 square kilometres of the Sahel, it is a region rich in traditions, languages, and customs, intertwined over centuries. It is also an area rich in possibilities. You…
Using innovative approaches, the paper aims to find out if fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS), climate vulnerability and underlying fragilities exacerbate each other to amplify a negative impact on people and economies. About one in five countries around the world are considered to be fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS). FCS are home to n…
Time1400-1500 GSTAboutThis event will showcase new policies, technology, and finance to scale up health services and resilience in settings where climate is driving displacement, conflict, and instability. It will provide a platform to the voices, needs and leadership of frontline communities, and will highlight the need for an effective and ambitious l…
Farming in Afghanistan has never been easy, says Ghulam Jailani, a 42-year-old farmer. But in the nearly 25 years he’s grown wheat on family land in the south of the country, nothing has been as destructive as the floods of July 2023. “It was terrifying. There was mud and water everywhere,” he tells The Third Pole. “We weren’t prepared for this kind of…
This report was written to catalyse change across the climate adaptation, disaster risk management, and humanitarian sectors to focus on the most vulnerable and excluded, who are least responsible, but most affected by the climate crisis. As such, the report aims to demonstrate examples of climate action in highly shock-prone and fragile contexts, and t…
This paper provides evidence that anticipatory and shock-responsive social protection can reinforce peacekeeping efforts, build climate resilience in fragile and conflict-affected states (FCAS) cost effectively and address a range of other interconnected challenges that hinder their development and stability.It analyses the relationship of climate chang…
The increase in global temperatures by over 1 degree Celsius since preindustrial times is already having broad and significant impacts. An ongoing multi-year drought in Eastern Africa, for instance, has been attributed to global warming. Hunger crises, displacement, and exacerbated conflict between pastoralist groups are some of the reported dire c…
A new ICRC/Norwegian Red Cross policy brief "Making Adaptation Work" presents how the humanitarian consequences of environmental degradation and climate change are aggravated by armed conflict in the Near and Middle East, and which adaptation approaches are emerging to face the compounding impact using examples from Iraq, Syria and Yemen.This brief aims…