Climate challenges in fragile and conflict-affected states

Using innovative approaches, the paper aims to find out if fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS), climate vulnerability and underlying fragilities exacerbate each other to amplify a negative impact on people and economies. About one in five countries around the world are considered to be fragile and conflict-affected states (FCS). FCS are home to nearly 1 billion people and 43 percent of the world’s poor. Using

The paper finds evidence that climate change indeed inflicts more lasting macroeconomic costs in fragile countries. Cumulative losses in gross domestic product reach about 4 percent in fragile states three years after extreme weather events. That compares with around 1 percent in other countries. Droughts in fragile states are expected to cut about 0.2 percentage points from their per-capita GDP growth every year. This means that incomes in fragile states will be falling further behind those in other countries.