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Predictive models have great potential for forecasting population displacements from climatic and other disasters. But disaster displacement risk assessment approaches often use probabilistic models and big data analysis to make global-level predictions, which have limited utility for planning and delivering local interventions that address vulnera…
This report summarizes the outcomes and technical discussions of the third Nansen Initiative Regional Consultation that was hosted by the Government of Kenya from 21 – 23 May 2014 in Nairobi, Kenya to discuss “Natural Hazards, Climate Change, and Cross-Border Displacement in the Greater Horn of Africa: Protecting people on the move.” The overall o…
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This report provides an overview of the internal displacements caused by conflicts and violence, and disasters. There were about 5.2 million new internal displacements associated with conflict and violence in the first half of 2018, based on the analysis of data from the 10 worst-affected countries. There were also about 3.3 million associated with disa…
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The purpose of this publication is to detail lessons learned from UNDP’s Climate Change Adaptation work and achievements in the Arab region on achieving sustainable and lasting results. Some lessons include building local capacity at all levels to ensure a project’s long-term viability, decentralizing infrastructure management, implicating community-bas…
The thematic report presents the first baseline for displacement risk associated with sudden-onset disasters in the countries of the Greater Horn of Africa with the ultimate aim of reducing future displacement risk. As sudden-onset natural hazards, primarily floods, caused more than 600,000 new displacements in 2016 in the Greater Horn of Africa, this r…
This study explores themes that require deeper understanding and engagement. It seeks to advance discussions and reflection on legal, policy, institutional and coordination approaches to dealing with displacement associated with disasters, conflict and their interplay. In 2019, of the 50 countries with new internal displacements associated with con…
The climate in Somalia is projected to become drier, warmer, more erratic, and more extreme than in recent decades and thus less favourable to crop, livestock, fisheries, and forestry-based livelihood systems. Other likely impacts include reduction of vegetation for grazing and more variable water availability, with grave impacts on livestock herding an…
The impacts of climate change, including erratic rainfall patterns, rising temperatures and prolonged dry spells and droughts stress existing vulnerabilities and put an additional strain on livelihoods in Somalia. Building the evidence base on the link between climate change’s slow-onset effects and displacement will help identify solutions to both phen…
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This report presents estimates of the financial impact of major displacement crises in eight countries: the Central African Republic, Haiti, Libya, the Philippines, Somalia, South Sudan, Ukraine and Yemen. Of these countries, Haiti, the Philippines and Somalia experienced displacement as a result of natural hazards. Using publicly available data an…
This study analyzes systematically how components of internal displacement data are related to disaster outcomes in Somalia, Afghanistan, the Marshall Islands and Bangladesh using a data inventory tool. Weather and climate-related events have already altered human mobility patterns and led to displacement. While the evidence base is low due to data gaps…
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This publication discusses how Somalia as a nation, continues to face multiple challenges and obstacles to finding durable solutions to forced displacement. Protracted displacement issues that undermine peacebuilding and state reconstruction, are drivers of fragility not only for Somalia, but for the whole of the Horn of Africa region. The Federal Gover…
IDMC embarked on a research programme in December 2018 to investigate internal displacement associated with slow-onset disasters and environmental change.  This study examines displacement associated with drought in Somalia, and the ways in which the phenomenon has affected urbanisation in the country. It also seeks to contribute to a better under…
This paper analyses the impacts of displacement by assessing the case of flood displacement in Beledweyne in Somalia. Addressing and reducing internal displacement linked with floods is a priority of the Somali government and its partners. To inform planning for flood-related crises and better assistance to affected populations, IDMC conducted an a…
This report documents the humanitarian challenges encountered by internally displaced persons (IDPs) in Somalia, in the context of drought and ongoing conflict in the country. It outlines problems such as food insecurity and undernutrition, the lack of sanitation and gender-based violence and makes recommendations on the scaling-up and improved coordina…
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This paper addresses the relationship between vulnerability and climate change induced human population displacement. It finds that the people displaced by the effects of climate change are often the most vulnerable and also suffer a legal protection gap.  The paper analyzes three case studies including hurricane-induced displacement in…

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