Extreme weather events attribution

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Resources on attribution science to communicate the linkages between extreme weather events and climate change.

Woman walking through the flooded street in Nigeria with a yellow rain cape.
From May until October 2022, large parts of West Africa experienced large-scale flooding caused by above average seasonal rainfall and water management.
World Weather Attribution
Three people carrying bags of onions through flood water.
From mid-June until the end of August 2022, large parts of Pakistan experienced record-breaking monsoonal rainfall, leading to large parts of the country being flooded.
World Weather Attribution
Researchers at the University of Copenhagen, in collaboration with the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), have used detailed weather models to clearly tie increased temperatures to the historic cloudburst over Copenhagen in July of 2011.
University of Copenhagen
In the summer of 2020, an extreme flash drought event broke out over the southeastern coastal region of China, which had serious impacts on local agriculture and the environment.
Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (ScienceDirect)
A group of civilians are moved to safety by boat amid deep floods in Badin, Pakistan
Despite the profound impact of heavy flooding in Pakistan, the IPCC's most recent report states it has only “low confidence” in how much climate change is to blame for increased heavy rains in south Asia.
Conversation Media Group, the
In the early 2000s, a new field of climate-science research emerged that began to explore the human fingerprint on extreme weather, such as floods, heatwaves, droughts and storms.
Carbon Brief
Tourists seek shade with umbrellas during a hot day in London
Every heatwave occurring is made more likely and intense by human-caused climate change. Early estimates by the UK Met Office may be significant underestimates, as models have underrated increases in the occurrence of extreme heat events before.
Conversation Media Group, the
Menacing cloud over the sea
Attribution science has led to major advances in linking the impacts of extreme weather and human-induced climate change, but large gaps in the published research still conceal the full extent of climate change damage, warns a new study.
Institute of Physics Publishing Limited
Cover page of the article
This article reviews current knowledge of the influences of climate change on five different extreme weather hazards, impacts of recent extreme weather events of each type, and thus the degree to which various impacts are attributable to climate change.
Environmental Research: Climate
2021 Pacific Northwest heat wave serves as testing ground for new attribution methods.
American Association for the Advancement of Science