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This brief is the first part of a series highlighting learnings that are emerging from a longitudinal study on anticipatory action in Somalia. Over the past couple of decades, more attention has been paid in the humanitarian sector to the possibility of giving assistance based on the expectation that a crisis is coming, but before humanitarian need…
In 2008, Somalia introduced an electronic based Early Warning Alert and Response Network (EWARN) for real time detection and response to alerts of epidemic prone diseases in a country experiencing a complex humanitarian situation. EWARN was deactivated between 2008 to 2016 due to civil conflict and reactivated in 2017 during severe drought during a chol…
This paper analyses the extreme rainfall in East Africa between October 2019 and January 2020 and contextualises it with future climate change. The 2019 October–December rains over East Africa were one of the wettest seasons on record, with many locations receiving more than double the climatological rainfall, leading to floods and landslides. The wet c…
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This map illustrates the likelihood that any cell in the grid will sustain a drought in any given year. Eastern and western Ethiopia and western Kenya are the regions of the HOA most frequently affected by severe drought (Figure 1). Based on historical rainfall records, there is greater than 40% likelihood that these regions will experience severe drou…
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This map illustrates the population of the Horn of Africa's exposure to flooding. It is one of the layers used to create a flood risk map for the region.
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This map illustrates the likelihood that a given region will sustain any flood within any given year. On average, the Shabeelle floods once a year and the Juba and Tana flood once every two years. Worst effects of flooding include human deaths (typically 10s to 100s), displacements (typically 1k to >100k), destroyed homes, submerged agriculture, and…
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This map illustrates where there is a 20% chance that the Peak Ground Acceleration assigned value for every cell will be exceeded in the next 50 years. The Horn of Africa has significant seismic hazard associated with the East African rift system. A number of destructive earthquakes, some deadly, have been reported this century. Notable events include…
This map illustrates the likelihood that a given region will sustain any drought, flood, or locust infestation within any given year. Earthquakes are not included in the joint probability calculation because large damaging events occur on a far less frequent time scale than the other three hazard types. The map suggests that most regions of the Horn co…
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The earthquake and tsunami of 26 December 2004, and the events that followed, will be remembered as among the worst human tragedies in history. The loss and devastation caused by this disaster brought incalculable suffering to millions of people around the Indian Ocean. Their grief is shared around the world, and their experience is a humbling reminder…
This document reports on achievements in many critical areas including child protection, education, health, livelihoods and disaster risk reduction by Save the Children as a result of their planned five-year response and recovery program in five countries: Indonesia, Sri Lanka, India, Thailand and Somalia.
This briefing examines the factors that allowed a drought in Ethiopia, Kenya, Somalia and Djibouti to develop into a full-scale crisis of hunger and livelihoods. Its main focus is the response of international aid system, although the ultimate importance of enhanced resilience for the communities themselves is recognised. The recommendations include to:…
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This document presents a review of current and planned adaptation action in East Africa, covering the following nine countries: Burundi, Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Somalia, United Republic of Tanzania and Uganda. The review first provides an overview of adaptation action at a regional level, highlighting commonalities and differences be…
Emergencies, in spite of their tragic nature and adverse effects on mental health, are unparalleled opportunities to build better mental health systems for all people in need. This Wolrd Health Organization (WHO) publication shows how this was done in 10 diverse emergency-affected areas. This is important because mental health is crucial to the overall…
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This accountability report outlines Mercy Corps’ emergency response over the past year, focusing on program strategy, accomplishments, financial accountability and our vision for future efforts. We feel it is critical to report back to the people who make our work possible with a clear account of what their support has achieved.
This report is dedicated to the millions of children whose lives were affected by the devastating Asian earthquake and tsunami of December 26, 2004.  It brings to donors, staff and friends of Save the Children across the world a summary of the achievements of Save the Children's relief and reconstruction efforts in the region, details of our five-y…

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