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… did a good job of predicting the vortex stretching, the wave reflection, and the extreme cold conditions over North … stratosphere, on the other hand, did not capture the wave reflection nor the full extent of the polar vortex … forecast, suggesting that the vortex stretching and wave reflection did not contribute to the cold air breakout. …
… 2018; Li et al. 2019; Yeo et al. 2019), long-lived Rossby Wave Packets (RWPs, Wirth et al. (2018)), which can … in Europe, the seasonal mean was strongly affected as the heat arrived in two waves, one from mid-May to mid-June and … but with a long tail of the distribution towards extreme heat. For California, the model also predicts the extreme …

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