Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2013
From Shared Risk to Shared Value: the Business Case for Disaster Risk Reduction


background image
204 Part III - Chapter 13
On the contrary it may stimulate increased business investment and hence accelerate the accumulation of disaster risk. It also generates fiscal risks when premiums are not risk-based and public sector institutions with limited experience of the insurance market are involved (GAR 13 paperOrie and Stahel, 2012

GAR13 Reference Orie, M. and Stahel, W.R. 2012.,UNISDR Case Study Report., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
.). In China, as Box 13.2 shows, insurance penetration in the property sector is still very low.
Recent catastrophes such as the Christchurch, New Zealand, earthquakes and Thailand flooding also have forced the insurance market to reconsider how to price intensive risks and to review their engagement in the market based on principles of insurabilityiv . Major disasters can lead to insurance pricing being revised and availability constrained. In Christchurch, a number of devastating earthquakes in 2010 and 2011 led to a thorough review of the coun-
try’s insurance policies and land-zoning regulations (Box 13.3; Muir-Wood, 2012

Muir-Wood, R. 2012.,The Christchurch earthquakes of 2010 and 2011., The Geneva Reports. Risk Insurance Research., Geneva,Switzerland: The Geneva Association.. .
).
In another example, insured losses from the Thailand floods were estimated between US$15.2 billion (Aon Benfield, 2012a

Aon Benfield. 2012a.,2011 Thailand Floods Event Recap Report: Impact Forecasting, March 2012.. Available at http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/20120314_impact_forecasting_thailand_flood_event_recap.pdf.
) and US$18 billion (GAR 13 paperOrie and Stahel, 2012

GAR13 Reference Orie, M. and Stahel, W.R. 2012.,UNISDR Case Study Report., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
). Subsequently, insurers and reinsurers have revised their risk ratings, and significant increases in the price of insurance and reduction of coverage are expected (Aon Benfield 2012a; Box 13.4). This could result in a potentially negative effect on foreign direct investment for Thailand but may discourage business investment in flood prone areas.
PPPs have the potential to greatly improve coverage and functioning of insurance markets. For example, in Norway, mortgage lenders are legally obliged to require that property owners purchase fire insur-
Box 13.4 The role of insurance in private investment promotion and business continuity
About 65–70 percent of insurance losses suffered in Thailand were borne by Japanese insurance companies through local subsidiaries, joint ventures or direct presence in the country (Courbage et al., 2012

Courbage, C., Orie, M. and Stahel, W. 2012.,2011 Thai floods and insurance., Capter 9. In: Extreme events and insurance: 2011 annus horribilis., The Geneva Reports No 5, March 2012.,Geneva: The Geneva Association.. .
). Many of these had already paid out large amounts owing to the Great East Japan Earthquake and tsunami (Aon Benfield, 2012b

Aon Benfield. 2012b.,Impact Forecasting: May 2012 Global Catastrophe Recap.. Available at http://thoughtleadership.aonbenfield.com/Documents/201206_if_monthly_cat_recap_may.pdf.
). In spite of significant reinsurance, the three largest property insurance companies announced that their net loss owing to the flood was expected to be as high as US$5.1 billion as of mid-February 2012.

As a consequence, private insurers and reinsurers began to restrain flood coverage and charge higher premiums owing to the high risk of the country. This created challenges for Japanese companies with facilities in Thailand. As a result, the Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) and Japanese business association requested the Thai Government to establish a public reinsurance fund to restore business confidence by providing flood insurance and reinsurancev . The Thai Government set up the National Catastrophe Insurance Fund in March 2012. However, if insurance pricing does not reflect risk levels, this may encourage rather than discourage increased disaster risk in the country. With the new Fund, these risks are now in effect owned by the Government of Thailand.

(Source: JETROvi )
Box 13.5 Mexico’s MultiCat catastrophe bond
MultiCat Mexico 2009—catastrophic bonds to transfer earthquake and hurricane risks in Mexico to capital markets—was a product of a formal PPP. Swiss Re, one of the world’s largest reinsurance companies, acted as colead manager and joint book-runner, drawing on its experience in providing insurance in emerging markets. The Mexican Government constructed the Fund for Natural Disasters (FONDEN) and an accompanying loss estimation model (R-FONDEN) to financially and technically underpin the MultiCat transaction. The partnership can be also indirect. According to Swiss Re, the public sector and the insurance industry are ‘implicit partners’ (Swiss Re, 2011

Swiss Re. 2011.,Economics of Climate Adaptation (ECA)-Shaping climate-resiliet development. A framework for decision-making., Zurich,Switzerland.. .
b).
(Source: UNISDR)
Contact us  |  Disclaimer  |  Our Partners  |  References  |  Acknowledgements  |  PreventionWeb |  The Global Platform  |  © United Nations 2011.