Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction 2013
From Shared Risk to Shared Value: the Business Case for Disaster Risk Reduction


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to affordable catastrophe and weather risk insurance (World Bank and UNISDR, 2010

World Bank and UNISDR. 2010.,Southeastern Europe Disaster Risk Mitigation and Adaptation Programme. At a glance., Washington and Brussels:,World Bank and UNISDR.. .
). This regional risk pooling mechanisms is the result of a successful cooperation between a private reinsurer, national governments and international organisations, which continue to support countries to enact appropriate regulatory and policy reforms to enable increasing insurance coverage
ii .
Historically, one of the main drivers of growth in the non-life insurance market has been increasing income per capita (Feyen et al., 2011

Feyen, E., Lester, R. and Rocha, R. 2011.,What Drives the Development of the Insurance Sector? An Empirical Analysis Based on a Panel of Developed and Developing Countries., World Bank, Working Paper S5572.. .
; Enz, 2000

Enz, R. 2000.,The S-Curve Relation between Per-Capita Income and Insurance Penetration., The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 25 (3), pp. 396-406.. .
; Zheng et al., 2008

Zheng, W., Yongdong, L. and Dickinson, G. 2008.,The Chinese Insurance Market: Estimating its Long-Term Growth and Size., The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, 33, 489-506.. .
). But it is not the only determinant of how insurance penetration develops within a country. Public policy and regulated insurance markets have proven to be another strong driver towards increasing insurance coverage in countries with limited penetration (Hussels et al., 2005

Hussels, S., Ward, D. and Zurbruegg, R. 2005.,Stimulating the Demand for Insurance., Risk Management and Insurance Review, 8 (2): pp. 257-278.. .
) and may become the main factor of new regulatory responses to climate change (Ranger and Surminski, 2011

Ranger, N. and Surminski, S. 2011.,A preliminary evaluation of the impact of climate change on non-life insurance demand in the BRICS economies., Working Paper n°72. Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy., Leeds and London,UK.. .
).
History shows that insurance contributes to disaster risk reduction only in countries with a mature risk management culture (Muir-Wood in GAR 13 paperOrie and Stahel, 2012

GAR13 Reference Orie, M. and Stahel, W.R. 2012.,UNISDR Case Study Report., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
). The Netherlands provides a good example.
Investments made in hazard mitigation since the early 17th century now mean that flood mortality is 500 times lower than during the Middle Ages (Van Baars and Van Kempen, 2009

Van Baars, S. and Van Kempen, I.M. 2009.,The causes and mechanisms of Historical Dike Failures in the Netherlands., Official Publication of the European Water Association (EWA). Delft University of Technology., Delft,The Netherlands.. .
).
Until recently, Dutch citizens could not legally purchase flood insurance, which forced the government to ensure flood risk protection levels (GAR 13 paperOrie and Stahel, 2012

GAR13 Reference Orie, M. and Stahel, W.R. 2012.,UNISDR Case Study Report., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
). Although this legal barrier has been removed, flood insurance is still not widely available. Discussions to develop a public-private partnership (PPP) for insurance coverage were halted in 2010 as a result of the economic crisis and tightening fiscal space (Ibid.).
In rapidly growing economies, particularly in Asia, insurance penetration is spreading faster than disaster risks are being reduced (Muir-Wood in GAR 13 paperOrie and Stahel, 2012

GAR13 Reference Orie, M. and Stahel, W.R. 2012.,UNISDR Case Study Report., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR..
Click here to view this GAR paper.
). This practice increases exposure of the insurance industry to high and growing losses, even if existing risks are accurately modelled, which may not always be the case. In these countries, low insurance pricing, aimed at increasing market penetration or attracting investment, may not encourage risk-averse investment.
Box 13.3 The Christchurch insurance crisis and lessons for the future
The two major earthquakes that hit New Zealand in September 2010 and in February 2011 generated insurance losses of an estimated US$17 billion. These losses were a combination of payouts through the country’s public residential insurance, the Earthquake Commission (EQC), losses to the commercial sector and losses to residential properties in excess of the EQC, covered by private insurers. The EQC alone faced more than 310,000 claims, with each of the two events drawing the highest number of claims by far in the EQC’s 65-year history. The second largest insurer in the country—AMI, with 85,000 policyholders in Christchurch alone—had to be bailed out by the government with an estimated US$800 million. Insurance claims could not be paid in a timely manner, creating a bottleneck for residents’ relocation to safer areas. Therefore, a programme was initiated by the government, in partnership with the insurance sector, in which 80 percent of residents in high-risk areas were allowed to not only sell their land but also to hand over the insurance claim.

Following the two earthquakes, zoning policies and building regulations were revised, including a decision to abandon selected suburbs and depopulate the severely affected and densely built-up central business district of Christchurch. Moreover, the insurance industry announced several important changes, including incapacity to pay out (AMI) and the termination of insurance policies (Ansvar Insurance). As a result, the EQC premiums trebled from early 2012 onwards to reduce the insurance policy’s cash shortfall and begin to rebuild its reserves. A major concern, however, is that new earthquakes may hit New Zealand in the coming years, repeating the country’s experience between 1929 and 1942, when a series of seven major earthquakes struck.

(Source: Muir-Wood, 2012

Muir-Wood, R. 2012.,The Christchurch earthquakes of 2010 and 2011., The Geneva Reports. Risk Insurance Research., Geneva,Switzerland: The Geneva Association.. .
; GAR 13 paperIRP, 2012

GAR13 Reference IRP (International Recovery Platform). 2012.,Policy, partnerships & land use planning interventions to reduce future risks., Background Paper prepared for the 2013 Global Assessment Report on Disaster Risk Reduction., Geneva,Switzerland: UNISDR.
Click here to view this GAR paper.
; Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Authority (http://cera.govt.nz/))
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