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  • Learning from the past - Using palaeoclimate data to better understand and manage drought in South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia
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Learning from the past - Using palaeoclimate data to better understand and manage drought in South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia

Source(s):  Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies (Elsevier)

This study demonstrates how palaeoclimate data can be used to supplement instrumental data to get (i) a better understanding into the range of variability that is possible and (ii) more realistic estimates for the likelihood of multi-year droughts. The study concerns South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia.

The key findings were:

  • Some centuries are drier than others (e.g. there are few dry periods in the 1400s, the 1500s and the 1800s relative to the 1000s, 1100s, 1200s and 1700s).
  • The 2000-2007 SEQ drought has almost certainly been exceeded many times over the past 1000 years.
  • Droughts worse than those seen in the instrumental record are not only possible but likely.
  • The probability of conditions much drier than the worst on instrumental record is not zero.



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  • Learning from the past - Using palaeoclimate data to better understand and manage drought in South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia
  • Author(s) Kiem, Anthony S.; Vance, Tessa R.; Tozer, Carly R.
  • ISBN/ISSN 10.1016/j.ejrh.2020.100686 (DOI)

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