Expert of the Week   for  28 Sep - 04 Oct 2015

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Rodney Martinez

International Director

International Research Centre on El Niño (CIIFEN) Expertise:  Climate variability (ENSO), climate applications and services and climate risk management and adaptation.

Former Navy Officer, Oceanographer, BMA in Development Projects Management. Regional Coordinator of ODINCARSA-IOC-UNESCO (2001-2009). CIIFEN Scientific Coordinator (2004-to present), CIIFEN Acting Director (2010-2012). Member of CLIVAR Pacific Panel- World Climate Research Programme (2005-2012). Co-Chair of the Open Program Area of Climate Experts on Climate Information for Risk Management and Adaptation from the Commission of Climatology-World Meteorological Organization (2010 to present). Member of the Joint Scientific Committee of the World Climate Research Programme (2013). Member of the Joint Steering Committee of the Global Climate Observing System GCOS (2015). Coordinator of several regional projects and activities related with Climate Risk management, early warning, information and data management, climate applications and adaptation. Coordinator of 29 regional training courses, participation as author or co-author in 46 publications and lecturer on more than 74 international conferences.

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO): related impacts and risk management.

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QQuestion by Mr Dave Paul Zervaas

Dear Rodney,
Do you feel that with today's knowledge and methods, forecasting El Nino's effects in the Americas are of precise enough quality to advice on the coming season's farming strategy with confidence.
Thanks.

Mr Dave Paul Zervaas Programme Management Officer | UNISDR
Switzerland

APosted on 30 Sep 2015

Climate forecasts are not perfect, however, and mainly due to the magnitude of the present el Niño, seasonal forecasts skills are high. These predictions can provide enough orientation to farmers to be prepared. The main suggestion is to combine different kind of predictions: global, regional with national forecasts provided by the national meteorological services in each country. please find the current summary of El Niño conditions and seasonal predictions for the Americas in this link: www.ciifen.org 

THIS SESSION CONCLUDED ON

04
October
2015