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Forecast-based financing

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Introduction

An innovative approach to release funds for disaster preparedness and response according to predefined triggers before a crisis occurs.

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Knowledge base

Cover
Documents and publications
2023

Developing triggers for forecast-based financing: how partnerships can strengthen anticipatory action

Drawing on case studies from Ecuador, Kenya, Mongolia and Viet Nam, this briefing explores the mechanisms that set up these science–humanitarian partnerships for success, and some of the shared benefits they deliver.
Anticipation Hub
Cover
Documents and publications
2023

The co-benefits of forecast-based financing and anticipatory action

This briefing provides an overview of the co-benefits of forecast-based financing (FbF) and anticipatory action, such as emerging successes and positive impacts associated with forecast-based financing interventions.
Anticipation Hub
Cover
Documents and publications
2023

Anticipatory action in the age of Covid-19: lessons from Cyclone Amphan in Bangladesh

The aim of the research paper is to examine the role of anticipatory action in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic and to identify best practices and lessons learned from the implementation of measures in response to Cyclone Amphan in Bangladesh in 2020.
Anticipation Hub
A meteorologist , Kabul, Afghanistan, 2017
Blog
12 May 2022
Irene Amuron Joanna Smith

Well-designed triggers support decision-making for anticipatory action

​​Anticipatory action plans include a trigger mechanism, developed according to an impact-based forecasting approach, that translates the expected hazard event and its potential impacts into technical and actionable interventions.
REAP Anticipatory Action: The Enabling Environment Case Studies (Fiji)
Documents and publications
2021

REAP country case studies: Fiji

An in-depth analysis of the policy enabling environment for early action in Fiji.  
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
Damage on homes from Cyclone Fani in Odisha, India (2019)
Updates
28 March 2022

Get funds in place, and take action, before disaster strikes: The Risk-informed Early Action Partnership's State of Play report

The Risk-informed Early Action Partnership's State of Play report provides a snapshot of early warning early action commitment, investment and activity over the previous year.
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
Cover
Documents and publications
2022

Early action: The state of play 2021

This report provides a snapshot of early warning early action commitment, investment and activity over the previous year.
Risk-informed Early Action Partnership
Mongolian Red Cross early action for dzud
Blog
21 Feb 2022
Arielle Tozier de la Poterie Martin Field

Learning and improving: An evidence base for anticipatory action

​​​​​​​Anticipatory action requires a shift in the humanitarian mindset. The Anticipation Hub is assembling the evidence. 
Updates
27 April 2021

Early humanitarian action can save lives, money. But it comes with uncertainty

The risk of a drought every year is becoming increasingly likely. But should humanitarian agencies bet $140 million on it before it actually occurs? While scientific forecasts are more accurate, they do still contain some inherent uncertainty.
Devex
Updates
10 February 2020

Three key ways to modernize humanitarian finance

Experts in humanitarian finance suggest three possible avenues for significant change to improve efficiency: more pre-arranged finance; pooling for outcomes; and financing functions rather than end-to-end mandates.
Center for Global Development

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