Subscriptions: RSSEmail

Black Swans: Resilience and the unthinkable

  • Type: Training Course
  • Date: 25-26 Oct 2012
  • Location: Australia (Adelaide)
  • Venue: Torrens Resilience Institute
  • Language: English



The term Black Swan is used to refer to very low probability and high consequence events that are difficult to predict or prevent and can result in truly catastrophic outcomes. Classical risk assessment and risk management approaches tend to focus our thinking and action on the most likely and severe disruptive events. This common approach to emergency management thinking draws our attention toward those events that we expect will occur at some time, and often occur regularly, such as wildfire or flood.

The Black Swan concept challenges us to think about the unthinkable. To consider events that may be inconceivable or at least highly unlikely. If common risk and emergency management approaches are inadequate, how do we identify potential Black Swans? How do we build resilient communities that are able to survive through these unexpected events?

This course will discuss the relationship between Black Swans, how we think about disruptive events and the concepts underpinning resilience. These principles and concepts will be applied to resilience building for the nation, its communities, its institutions and organisations.

Additional information


Target audience

Organization executives

How to register

To apply for enrolment in course or for further information email Glen Varona at g.varona@torrensresilience.org or call +61 8 82215440


  • Themes:Capacity Development, Disaster Risk Management, Risk Identification & Assessment, Social Impacts & Resilience
  • Hazards:Flood, Wild Fire
  • Countries/Regions:Australia

  • Short URL:http://preventionweb.net/go/26507

Tag This Document

Comma separated. E.g. gender events, women

> Log in to view your tags

Email this page
Export to your calendar

Share your inputs to WCDRR working session

Explore the WCDRR intergovernmental, multi-stakeholder and public forum sessions and outcomes