Policy research working paper 5554:
This paper develops a methodology for regional disaggregated estimation and mapping of the areas that are ex-ante the most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change and variability and applies it to Tajikistan, a mountainous country highly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change. It constructs the vulnerability index as a function of exposure to climate variability and 'natural' disasters, sensitivity to the impacts of that exposure, and capacity to adapt to ongoing and future climatic changes. It is intended to inform decisions about adaptation responses that might benefit from an assessment of how and why vulnerability to climate change varies regionally and it may therefore prove a useful tool for policy analysts interested in how to ensure pro-poor adaptation in developing countries.
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