An official statement From The thirtieth Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 30): 27-29 February 2012, Kigali,Rwanda. The March to May rainfall season in the Greater Horn of Africa is likely to result in "near normal to below normal rainfall" over much of the region.This rainfall outlook applies in particular to areas plagued by drought in recent years including much of Somalia; Djibouti; eastern and northern Kenya; southern, eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia.
Guidance and valuable prediction information was drawn from various sources including the World Meteorological Organisation's Global Producing Centres, operational research and expert opinion. These inputs were combined using deterministic and probabilistic modelling alongside expert analysis to obtain the regional rainfall forecast for the period March to May 2012.
The GHACOF 30 was organised jointly by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) and National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of ICPAC member countries within the framework of ClimDev-Africa project funded by AfDB.It was hosted by the Rwanda Meteorological Agency. Partial support for capacity building workshop for the climate scientists was provided by World Meteorological Organisation while World bank/GFDR provided support to Redcross societies, Civil societies, Gender and disaster management experts. UNISDR also supported the participation of the disaster risk reduction focal points from East Africa Community Partners States.