Aruba

Basic Country Statistics and Indicators (2014)

What's this?
- Population, GDP, GFCF, Gross savings, Total reserves (World Bank Development indicators. http://data.worldbank.org/ More information can be found in "Indicators definitions and sources".)
- Capital stock (Global Exposure Database 2014. Di Bono, 2014)
- Social expenditure (International Labour Organisation, ILO: Total Social Protection expenditure, 2012; Public Health Care expenditure, 2012; World Bank Development indicators, Public Education expenditure, 2011)
- Rule of law, Government effectiveness, Voice and accountability, Control of corruption (World Bank Governance indicators. http://data.worldbank.org/)
- Pop living in slums (Indicadores de los Objetivos del Desarrollo del Milenio http://mdgs.un.org/unsd/mdg/SeriesDetail.aspx?srid=710)
- Ecological footprint (Global Footprint Network www.footprintnetwork.org)
- Environmental performance index, Forest change (Environmental Performance Index, Yale Center for Environmental Law and Policy, Yale University and Center for International Earth Science Information Network (CIESIN); Columbia University http://epi.yale.edu)
Population people 102,911
Urban % Total population 42.058
Rural % Total population 57.942
Urban population growth % Annual -0.212
Population density People / km2 571.7
GDP (Gross Domestic Product) Million US$ 2,584.464
GDP per capita US$ 25,354.78
Capital stock Million US$ 8,909
GFCF (Gross Fixed Capital Formation) Million US$ 715.292
Social Expenditure Million US$ 616
Gross Savings Million US$ 0.000
Total reserves Million US$ 532.721

Probabilistic risk results

Average Annual Loss (AAL) by hazard

What's this?
The Average Annual Loss (AAL) is the expected loss per annum associated to the occurrence of future perils assuming a very long observation timeframe. It considers the damage caused on the exposed elements by small, moderate and extreme events and results a useful and robust metric for risk ranking and comparisons.
Hazard
 
Absolute
[Million US$]
Capital
stock [%]
GFCF
[%]
Social
exp [%]
Total
Reserves [%]
Gross
Savings [%]
Earthquake 16.14 0.181 2.256 2.620 3.030 0.000
Wind 13.30 0.149 1.859 2.159 2.497 0.000
Storm Surge 26.05 0.292 3.642 4.229 4.890 0.000
Tsunami 0.02 0.000 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.000
Multi-Hazard 55.51 0.623 7.760 9.011 10.420 0.000

Hazard contribution to AAL

Probable Maximum Loss (PML)

What's this?
The Probable Maximum Loss (PML) is a risk metric that represents the maximum loss that could be expected, on average, within a given number of years. PML is widely used to establish limits related to the size of reserves that, for example, insurance companies or a government should have available to buffer losses: the higher the return period, the higher the expected loss. PML always have associated a mean return period.

Mean return period in years - Values for hazard are in million US$

Hazard
 
20 50 100 250 500 1000 1500
Earthquake 14 81 283 1,015 1,881 2,814 3,300
Wind 55 170 362 700 855 1,024 1,070
Storm Surge 94 512 690 858 958 1,094 1,106
Tsunami 0 0 0 0 0 1 4

Notes

Extensive risk is used to describe the risk of low-severity, high-frequency disasters, mainly but not exclusively associated with highly localized hazards. Intensive risk is used to describe the risk of high-severity, mid to low-frequency disasters, mainly associated with major hazards.

AAL: The Average Annual Loss is the expected loss per annum associated to the occurrence of future perils assuming a very long observation timeframe. It considers the damage caused on the exposed elements by small, moderate and extreme events and results a useful and robust metric for risk ranking and comparisons. AAL Flood results are provisional. These results give an overview of the risk associated with river flooding. Factors other than the depth of the water also have a considerable influence on loss, which means that there is greater uncertainty compared with other hazards.

Risk and development implications index. This index is useful to provide a ranking of the countries based on the ratio of the expected Average Annual Loss (AAL) with relation to a set of relevant macroeconomic, financial, and social development variables. It attempts to reveal the weight of the AAL with respect to the social expenditure, the capital formation (domestic investment) and reserves (financial capacity), and the produced capital or capital stock (assets at risk) and savings (treasury) of each country. It reflects, in adverse conditions, growth and social constraints for the country as a result of potential future disasters. The fiscal portfolio is composed by the government buildings, public education and health buildings, and low income residential private buildings.

PML: The Probable Maximum Loss is a risk metric that represents the maximum loss that could be expected, on average, within a given number of years. PML is widely used to establish limits related to the size of reserves that, for example, insurance companies or a government should have available to buffer losses: the higher the return period, the higher the expected loss. PML always have associated a mean return period. Mean return period of 100, 250, 500, 1000 and 1500 years means the 5%, 2%, 1%, 0.5% and 0.3% probability respectively of exceeding those losses in 5 years.

Data source

UNISDR Global Risk Assessment 2015: GVM and IAVCEI, UNEP, CIMNE and associates and INGENIAR, FEWS NET and CIMA Foundation.
World Bank Development indicators. http://data.worldbank.org/
More information can be found in "Indicators definitions and sources".
International Labour Organisation, ILO: Total Social Protection expenditure (2012), Public Health Care expenditure (2012), World Bank Development indicators, Public Education expenditure (2011)
Global Footprint Network: http://www.footprintnetwork.org
EM-DAT (Feb. 2015) : The OFDA/CRED - International Disaster Database http://www.emdat.be Université catholique de Louvain Brussels - Belgium